Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Saint-Étienne play Nantes at home on 24 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne); the referee is Gaël Angoula, France. For us, Saint-Étienne (55%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Saint-Étienne vs Nantes: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Saint-Étienne are 1st in the table, on 25 points after 11 matches (8W 1D 2L), and Nantes are 15th, on 9 points (2W 3D 6L).
- Head to head. From 21 meetings: 8 wins for Saint-Étienne, 3 wins for Nantes and 10 draws, with the goals at 29–18.
What to expect
For us, Saint-Étienne are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.73), and we rate it at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 55% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 54% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 21; Saint-Étienne 8 wins, 10 draws, Nantes 3 wins.
- An average of 2.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 54%.
- Out: Saint-Étienne 0, Nantes 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 55%, best price 1.73). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Saint-Étienne: no absences. Absent for Nantes: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Saint-Étienne vs Nantes: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.75 | 3.95 | 4.96 |
| Market average | 1.70 | 3.81 | 4.59 |
| Lowest odds | 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.33 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.22 | 76.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.74 | 54.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.05 | 46.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.85 | 32.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.04 | 45.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Saint-Étienne 1–1 Nantes, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Saint-Étienne 1st (25 points), Nantes 15th (9 points).
- H2H: 21 matches: Saint-Étienne 8W 10D 3L, goals 29–18.
- Absences: Saint-Étienne 0, Nantes 0.
Who will win Saint-Étienne vs Nantes?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Saint-Étienne vs Nantes: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Saint-Étienne vs Nantes: team news and absences
Saint-Étienne
- No reported absences
Nantes
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Montpellier | 11 | 7-3-1 | 16:6 | 24 |
| 3 |  Nancy | 11 | 7-1-3 | 16:9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Reims | 11 | 5-6-0 | 22:12 | 21 |
| 5 |  PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 6 |  RED Star FC 93 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:16 | 17 |
| 7 |  Annecy | 11 | 5-1-5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 8 |  Dijon | 11 | 4-3-4 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 9 |  Guingamp | 11 | 4-2-5 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 10 |  Metz | 11 | 3-5-3 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 11 |  Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 12 |  Dunkerque | 11 | 3-3-5 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 13 |  Sochaux | 11 | 2-5-4 | 8:14 | 11 |
| 14 |  Boulogne | 11 | 1-7-3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 15 | Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 16 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 18 |  Grenoble | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:20 | 8 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Saint-Étienne vs Nantes?
Saint-Étienne -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Both teams to score (1.73).
Who will win Saint-Étienne vs Nantes?
We estimate: Saint-Étienne win 55%, draw 25%, Nantes win 20%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne. Referee: Gaël Angoula, France.
Who will be missing?
Saint-Étienne: no absences. Nantes: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.80); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 46% (odds 2.10).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 55% (odds 1.73).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.9%), then 1–0 (10.9%) and 2–1 (9.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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