Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Hradec Králové play FK Jablonec at home on 25 October 2026 · 12:00 at Malšovická arena (Hradec Králové); the referee is Dominik Starý. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Hradec Králové are 11th in the table, on 15 points after 13 matches (4W 3D 6L), and FK Jablonec are 7th, on 20 points (6W 2D 5L).
- Attack and defence. On average Hradec Králové score 0.9 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.2; for FK Jablonec the figures are 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Hradec Králové: 4W 3D 4L, goals 10–13; FK Jablonec: 5W 2D 4L, goals 14–12.
- Head to head. From 13 meetings: 2 wins for Hradec Králové, 6 wins for FK Jablonec and 5 draws, with the goals at 12–21.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.6%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
What stands out is that the table favours the FK Jablonec, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 54% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 48% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 13; Hradec Králové 2 wins, 5 draws, FK Jablonec 6 wins.
- An average of 2.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Hradec Králové 10–13, FK Jablonec 14–12.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 48%.
- Out: Hradec Králové 0, FK Jablonec 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 54%, best price 1.80). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Hradec Králové: no absences. Absent for FK Jablonec: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.48 | 3.30 | 3.19 |
| Market average | 2.39 | 3.15 | 2.95 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.00 | 2.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.28 | 72.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.02 | 1.94 | 48.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.82 | 51.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.50 | 3.28 | 28.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.72 | 54.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.02 | 45.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 09:20. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Hradec Králové 1–1 FK Jablonec, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Hradec Králové 11th (15 points), FK Jablonec 7th (20 points).
- Form in the competition: Hradec Králové 4W 3D 4L (10:13), FK Jablonec 5W 2D 4L (14:12).
- H2H: 13 matches: Hradec Králové 2W 5D 6L, goals 12–21.
- Absences: Hradec Králové 0, FK Jablonec 0.
Who will win Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec: team news and absences
Hradec Králové
- No reported absences
FK Jablonec
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 13 | 9-4-0 | 32:7 | 31 |
| 2 |  Mladá Boleslav | 13 | 7-3-3 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 3 |  Sigma Olomouc | 13 | 7-3-3 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 4 |  Sparta Praha | 13 | 7-2-4 | 25:13 | 23 |
| 5 |  Slovan Liberec | 12 | 7-2-3 | 15:8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Teplice | 13 | 6-3-4 | 21:18 | 21 |
| 7 | FK Jablonec | 13 | 6-2-5 | 16:18 | 20 |
| 8 |  Bohemians 1905 | 13 | 5-5-3 | 15:14 | 20 |
| 9 |  Zbrojovka Brno | 13 | 6-2-5 | 16:19 | 20 |
| 10 |  Plzeň | 13 | 5-4-4 | 28:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Hradec Králové | 13 | 4-3-6 | 12:18 | 15 |
| 12 |  Pardubice | 13 | 4-2-7 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 13 |  Baník Ostrava | 12 | 3-2-7 | 7:22 | 11 |
| 14 |  Artis | 13 | 2-4-7 | 14:24 | 10 |
| 15 |  Slovácko | 13 | 1-4-8 | 12:26 | 7 |
| 16 |  Zlín | 13 | 0-3-10 | 11:26 | 3 |
Recent matches
Hradec Králové
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Hradec KrálovéLLDLLFK JablonecLWLWDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec?
Hradec Králové +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.58); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec?
We estimate: Hradec Králové win 39%, draw 30%, FK Jablonec win 32%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 12:00, venue: Malšovická arena, Hradec Králové. Referee: Dominik Starý.
Who will be missing?
Hradec Králové: no absences. FK Jablonec: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.02); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 52% (odds 1.85).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.6%), then 1–0 (10.5%) and 0–1 (9.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.