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Chance Liga · Matchweek 11 · 18 October 2026 · 17:00

FK Jablonec vs Plzeň: prediction, tip and odds, 18 October 2026, Chance Liga

2–3
WLWWL
1FK Jablonec2.37
XDraw3.50
2Plzeň2.93

Best price · Updated 18/10/26, 13:16

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Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

FK Jablonec play Plzeň at home on 18 October 2026 · 17:00 at Stadion Střelnice (Jablonec); the referee is Jan Machálek. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.

FK Jablonec vs Plzeň: tip and prediction
Result
Draw or Plzeň (X2)
1.62
Goals
Both teams to score
1.70
60%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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FK Jablonec vs Plzeň: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. FK Jablonec are 7th in the table, on 20 points after 13 matches (6W 2D 5L), and Plzeň are 10th, on 19 points (5W 4D 4L).

What to expect

We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.1%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and we rate it at 56%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 56% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 52% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 52%.
  2. Out: FK Jablonec 0, Plzeň 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 56%, best price 1.70). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for FK Jablonec: no absences. Absent for Plzeň: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

FK Jablonec vs Plzeň: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price2.373.502.93
Market average2.303.412.85
Lowest odds2.253.302.80
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.261.2475.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.851.8151.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.011.9548.1%
Over 3.5 goals3.103.0030.9%
BTTS – yes1.701.6556.3%
BTTS – no2.152.1243.7%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 18/10/26, 13:16. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.9%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: FK Jablonec 1–1 Plzeň, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: FK Jablonec 7th (20 points), Plzeň 10th (19 points).
  • Absences: FK Jablonec 0, Plzeň 0.

Who will win FK Jablonec vs Plzeň?

FK Jablonec40%
Draw27%
Plzeň33%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

FK Jablonec vs Plzeň: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals75.0% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.26
Likely
Under 3.5 goals69.1% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.38
Likely
FK Jablonec or draw (1X)67.5% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.40
Likely
BTTS – yes56.3% · fair odds 1.78 · best 1.70
Possible
Over 2.5 goals51.9% · fair odds 1.93 · best 1.85
Possible
Under 2.5 goals48.1% · fair odds 2.08 · best 2.01
Outsider
BTTS – no43.7% · fair odds 2.29 · best 2.15
Outsider
FK Jablonec to win40.3% · fair odds 2.48 · best 2.37
Outsider
Plzeň to win32.5% · fair odds 3.08 · best 2.93
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals30.9% · fair odds 3.24 · best 3.10
Outsider
Draw27.2% · fair odds 3.68 · best 3.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.73 · Under 2.01
probability of over 53.8%

Correct score prediction

1 : 112.1%
1 : 09.3%
2 : 18.7%
0 : 18.3%
1 : 27.8%
2 : 06.7%

FK Jablonec vs Plzeň: team news and absences

FK Jablonec

  • No reported absences

Plzeň

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Slavia Praha139-4-032:731
2Mladá Boleslav137-3-322:1524
3Sigma Olomouc137-3-322:1524
4Sparta Praha137-2-425:1323
5Slovan Liberec127-2-315:823
6Teplice136-3-421:1821
7FK Jablonec136-2-516:1820
8Bohemians 1905135-5-315:1420
9Zbrojovka Brno136-2-516:1920
10Plzeň135-4-428:2119
11Hradec Králové134-3-612:1815
12Pardubice134-2-715:1914
13Baník Ostrava123-2-77:2211
14Artis132-4-714:2410
15Slovácko131-4-812:267
16Zlín130-3-1011:263

Recent matches

FK Jablonec

31 OctLFK Jablonec 0–5 Slavia Praha
25 OctWHradec Králové 1–2 FK Jablonec
22 OctDFK Jablonec 0–0 Brighton
18 OctLFK Jablonec 2–3 Plzeň
15 OctLSC Freiburg 3–2 FK Jablonec

Plzeň

1 NovWBaník Ostrava 0–4 Plzeň
25 OctLPlzeň 1–2 Pardubice
22 OctLPlzeň 1–2 Levski Sofia
18 OctWFK Jablonec 2–3 Plzeň
15 OctLFerencvárosi TC 2–1 Plzeň

Home and away

FK Jablonec at home7 matches: 3W 1D 3L, goals 10–12
Plzeň away6 matches: 3W 2D 1L, goals 16–9

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.9%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for FK Jablonec vs Plzeň?

Draw or Plzeň (X2) (1.62); Both teams to score (1.70).

Who will win FK Jablonec vs Plzeň?

We estimate: FK Jablonec win 40%, draw 27%, Plzeň win 33%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 18 October 2026, kick-off: 17:00, venue: Stadion Střelnice, Jablonec. Referee: Jan Machálek.

Who will be missing?

FK Jablonec: no absences. Plzeň: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.85); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 48% (odds 2.01).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 56% (odds 1.70).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.1%), then 1–0 (9.3%) and 2–1 (8.7%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Zlín vs Slovácko 7 NovSlovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 7 NovHradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc 7 NovZbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava 7 NovTeplice vs Pardubice 8 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.