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UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 2 · 22 October 2026 · 17:45

FK Jablonec vs Brighton: prediction, tip and odds, 22 October 2026, UEFA Conference League

1FK Jablonec13.50
XDraw7.80
2Brighton1.24

Best price · Updated 22/10/26, 16:28

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Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

FK Jablonec play Brighton at home on 22 October 2026 · 17:45 at Stadion Střelnice (Jablonec nad Nisou); the referee is S. Kringstad. For us, Brighton (78%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.

FK Jablonec vs Brighton: tip and prediction
Handicap
Brighton -1.75 (Asian handicap)
1.98
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.83
Combo
Brighton + over 2.5 goals combined
1.72
58% · fair odds for the combo
55%Chance
0–2likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Brighton (X2): 92% probability, best odds 1.06. With short odds on the result, a goals tip alongside it is our suggestion.

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FK Jablonec vs Brighton: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. FK Jablonec are 24th in the table, on 1 point after 2 matches (0W 1D 1L), and Brighton are 9th, on 4 points (1W 1D 0L).

What to expect

For us, Brighton are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–3 score, roughly 4 goals in all, with 0–2 (11.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

Odds of 1.24 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.83), which we rate at 53%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 47% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 67% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 67%.
  2. Out: FK Jablonec 0, Brighton 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – no

Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 53%, best price 1.85). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for FK Jablonec: no absences. Absent for Brighton: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

FK Jablonec vs Brighton: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price13.507.801.24
Market average12.126.841.20
Lowest odds7.345.031.17
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.141.1084.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.441.4066.8%
Under 2.5 goals3.102.8233.2%
Over 3.5 goals2.122.0146.7%
BTTS – yes2.101.9946.7%
BTTS – no1.851.7453.3%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 22/10/26, 16:28. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.7%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: FK Jablonec 0–2 Brighton, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: FK Jablonec 24th (1 point), Brighton 9th (4 points).
  • Absences: FK Jablonec 0, Brighton 0.

Who will win FK Jablonec vs Brighton?

FK Jablonec8%
Draw14%
Brighton78%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

FK Jablonec vs Brighton: more betting tips

Draw or Brighton (X2)92.1% · fair odds 1.09 · best 1.06
Likely
Over 1.5 goals84.8% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.14
Likely
Brighton to win78.2% · fair odds 1.28 · best 1.24
Likely
Over 2.5 goals66.8% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.44
Likely
Under 3.5 goals53.3% · fair odds 1.87 · best 1.83
Possible
BTTS – no53.3% · fair odds 1.88 · best 1.85
Possible
BTTS – yes46.7% · fair odds 2.14 · best 2.10
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals46.7% · fair odds 2.14 · best 2.12
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals33.2% · fair odds 3.02 · best 3.10
Outsider
Draw13.9% · fair odds 7.22 · best 7.80
Outsider
FK Jablonec to win7.9% · fair odds 12.62 · best 13.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.72 · Under 2.02
probability of over 54.1%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.91 · Under 1.84
probability of over 49.0%

Correct score prediction

0 : 211.6%
0 : 310.4%
1 : 28.7%
0 : 18.6%
1 : 37.8%
0 : 47.0%

FK Jablonec vs Brighton: team news and absences

FK Jablonec

  • No reported absences

Brighton

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Panathinaikos22-0-07:26
2FC Lugano22-0-08:46
3Brann22-0-06:26
4Trabzonspor22-0-06:26
5Twente22-0-05:16
6Monaco22-0-05:16
7St. Truiden22-0-03:06
8HNK Hajduk Split22-0-03:16
9Brighton21-1-04:04
10FC Copenhagen21-1-05:24
11Universitatea Craiova21-1-04:24
12Mjällby AIF21-1-03:14
13Ajax21-0-13:23
14Borac Banja Luka21-0-13:23
15Atalanta21-0-13:33
16SC Braga21-0-12:33
17Gent21-0-11:23
18SC Freiburg21-0-13:53
19FC Nordsjælland20-2-03:32
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë20-2-02:22
21Riga20-2-02:22
22FK Crvena Zvezda20-1-14:51
23CSKA Sofia20-1-13:41
24FK Jablonec20-1-12:31
25FC Midtjylland20-1-11:21
26Aarhus20-1-11:21
27Pafos20-1-12:41
28Heart Of Midlothian20-1-11:31
29FC Iberia 199920-1-11:31
30Getafe20-1-13:61
31Kairat Almaty20-1-12:61
32FC Thun20-0-20:20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC20-0-22:60
34KuPS20-0-22:60
35Inter Club d'Escaldes20-0-21:50
36Kauno Žalgiris20-0-21:80

Recent matches

FK Jablonec

31 OctLFK Jablonec 0–5 Slavia Praha
25 OctWHradec Králové 1–2 FK Jablonec
22 OctDFK Jablonec 0–0 Brighton
18 OctLFK Jablonec 2–3 Plzeň
15 OctLSC Freiburg 3–2 FK Jablonec

Brighton

31 OctWManchester City 0–1 Brighton
25 OctLLiverpool 2–0 Brighton
22 OctDFK Jablonec 0–0 Brighton
18 OctWBrighton 5–0 Crystal Palace
15 OctWBrighton 4–0 Kauno Žalgiris

Home and away

FK Jablonec at home1 match: 0W 1D 0L, goals 0–0
Brighton away1 match: 0W 1D 0L, goals 0–0

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for FK Jablonec vs Brighton?

Brighton -1.75 (Asian handicap) (1.98); Under 3.5 goals (1.83).

Who will win FK Jablonec vs Brighton?

We estimate: FK Jablonec win 8%, draw 14%, Brighton win 78%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 22 October 2026, kick-off: 17:45, venue: Stadion Střelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou. Referee: S. Kringstad.

Who will be missing?

FK Jablonec: no absences. Brighton: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 67% (odds 1.44); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 33% (odds 3.10).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 47% (odds 2.10).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 0–2 as most likely (11.6%), then 0–3 (10.4%) and 1–2 (8.7%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax 5 NovAarhus vs SC Braga 5 NovAtalanta vs Kairat Almaty 5 NovFK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes 5 NovLincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split 5 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.