Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Inter v Shakhtar Donetsk: 21 October 2026 · 20:00 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza (Milan), with Harm Osmers refereeing. We have Inter (77%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Inter are 15th in the table, on 6 points after 4 matches (2W 0D 2L), and Shakhtar Donetsk are 21st, on 4 points (1W 1D 2L).
- Head to head. From 6 meetings: 3 wins for Inter, 0 wins for Shakhtar Donetsk and 3 draws, with the goals at 8–0.
What to expect
For us, Inter are the more likely winners. We estimate a 3–1 score, roughly 4 goals in all, with 2–0 (10.3%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
Odds of 1.27 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: Both teams to score (odds 1.71), which we rate at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 55% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 70% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 6; Inter 3 wins, 3 draws, Shakhtar Donetsk 0 wins.
- An average of 1.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 70%.
- Out: Inter 0, Shakhtar Donetsk 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 55%, best price 1.71). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Inter: no absences. Absent for Shakhtar Donetsk: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.27 | 7.01 | 11.60 |
| Market average | 1.24 | 6.54 | 10.99 |
| Lowest odds | 1.22 | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.07 | 86.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.33 | 70.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.16 | 29.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.97 | 1.90 | 50.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.71 | 1.69 | 55.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.07 | 45.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 21/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Inter 2–0 Shakhtar Donetsk, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Inter 15th (6 points), Shakhtar Donetsk 21st (4 points).
- H2H: 6 matches: Inter 3W 3D 0L, goals 8–0.
- Absences: Inter 0, Shakhtar Donetsk 0.
Who will win Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk: team news and absences
Inter
- No reported absences
Shakhtar Donetsk
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 4 | 4-0-0 | 20:5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:7 | 12 |
| 3 |  Arsenal | 4 | 3-1-0 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Como | 4 | 3-0-1 | 19:6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 4 | 3-0-1 | 14:6 | 9 |
| 6 |  Aston Villa | 4 | 3-0-1 | 12:6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Manchester City | 4 | 3-0-1 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 8 |  Liverpool | 4 | 3-0-1 | 14:10 | 9 |
| 9 |  Club Brugge KV | 4 | 3-0-1 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 10 |  Sporting CP | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Real Betis | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 3-0-1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bayern München | 4 | 2-2-0 | 12:5 | 8 |
| 14 |  VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 2-1-1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 15 | Inter | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 16 |  Lask Linz | 4 | 2-0-2 | 10:9 | 6 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Galatasaray | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 19 |  Fenerbahçe | 4 | 1-2-1 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 20 |  AS Roma | 4 | 1-1-2 | 10:8 | 4 |
| 21 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 22 |  Viking | 4 | 1-1-2 | 9:10 | 4 |
| 23 |  Atlético Madrid | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 24 |  PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 25 |  Bodø/Glimt | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 26 |  FC Porto | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 28 |  Villarreal | 4 | 1-0-3 | 8:14 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 4 | 1-0-3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | 1-0-3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 31 |  Sabah FA | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 32 |  Feyenoord | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 33 |  Lens | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:16 | 3 |
| 34 |  Slavia Praha | 4 | 0-1-3 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lille | 4 | 0-1-3 | 4:10 | 1 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 4 | 0-0-4 | 1:17 | 0 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Over 3.5 goals (1.97); Inter to win (1.27).
Who will win Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
We estimate: Inter win 77%, draw 15%, Shakhtar Donetsk win 9%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 21 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan. Referee: Harm Osmers.
Who will be missing?
Inter: no absences. Shakhtar Donetsk: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 70% (odds 1.34); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 30% (odds 3.40).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 55% (odds 1.71).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–0 as most likely (10.3%), then 3–0 (9.5%) and 2–1 (8.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.