Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is AC Milan against Inter on 31 October 2026 · 19:45 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza (Milan), and Marco Guida will referee. Inter (47%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
AC Milan vs Inter: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. AC Milan are 5th in the table, on 21 points after 10 matches (6W 3D 1L), and Inter are 2nd, on 25 points (8W 1D 1L).
- Attack and defence. On average AC Milan score 2.0 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.2; for Inter the figures are 2.8 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. AC Milan: 5W 3D 1L, goals 18–11; Inter: 8W 1D 0L, goals 25–10.
- Head to head. From 44 meetings: 14 wins for AC Milan, 19 wins for Inter and 11 draws, with the goals at 50–61.
What to expect
For us, Inter are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), and we rate it at 66%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 58% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 55% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 44; AC Milan 14 wins, 11 draws, Inter 19 wins.
- An average of 2.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: AC Milan 18–11, Inter 25–10.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 55%.
- Out: AC Milan 5, Inter 5.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 58%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for AC Milan: S. Chukwueze, M. Gabbia, R. Loftus-Cheek, A. Saelemaekers, F. Tomori. Absent for Inter: C. Jones, Luis Henrique, L. Martinez, B. Pavard, J. Stones. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
AC Milan vs Inter: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.70 | 3.80 | 2.11 |
| Market average | 3.55 | 3.55 | 2.04 |
| Lowest odds | 3.11 | 3.31 | 1.98 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.22 | 77.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 1.74 | 54.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.11 | 45.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.86 | 2.76 | 34.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.24 | 41.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 16:59. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: AC Milan 1–1 Inter, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: AC Milan 5th (21 points), Inter 2nd (25 points).
- Form in the competition: AC Milan 5W 3D 1L (18:11), Inter 8W 1D 0L (25:10).
- H2H: 44 matches: AC Milan 14W 11D 19L, goals 50–61.
- Absences: AC Milan 5, Inter 5.
Who will win AC Milan vs Inter?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
AC Milan vs Inter: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
AC Milan vs Inter: team news and absences
AC Milan
- S. Chukwuezehip injury · will miss the match
- M. Gabbiathigh injury · will miss the match
- R. Loftus-Cheekthigh injury · will miss the match
- A. Saelemaekersankle injury · will miss the match
- F. Tomorimuscle injury · will miss the match
Inter
- C. Jonesthigh injury · will miss the match
- Luis Henriquethigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Martinezthigh injury · will miss the match
- B. Pavardthigh injury · will miss the match
- J. Stonesmuscle injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
AC Milan
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
AC MilanWLWWDInterLWWWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for AC Milan vs Inter?
Over 2.5 goals (1.83); Inter to win (2.11).
Who will win AC Milan vs Inter?
We estimate: AC Milan win 27%, draw 27%, Inter win 47%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan. Referee: Marco Guida.
Who will be missing?
AC Milan: S. Chukwueze, M. Gabbia, R. Loftus-Cheek, A. Saelemaekers, F. Tomori. Inter: C. Jones, Luis Henrique, L. Martinez, B. Pavard, J. Stones. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.83); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 45% (odds 2.18).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.62).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.5%), then 0–1 (9.5%) and 1–2 (9.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.