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Serie A · Matchweek 9 · 28 October 2026 · 17:30

Venezia vs Inter: prediction, tip and odds, 28 October 2026, Serie A

LLLWL
0–2
LWWWW
1Venezia8.05
XDraw5.70
2Inter1.44

Best price · Updated 28/10/26, 16:28

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Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Venezia v Inter: 28 October 2026 · 17:30 at Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo (Venice), with Luca J. Pairetto refereeing. We have Inter (69%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Venezia vs Inter: tip and prediction
Handicap
Venezia +1.5 (Asian handicap)
1.92
Goals
Both teams to score
1.62
Combo
Inter + over 2.5 goals combined
1.93
52% · fair odds for the combo
53%Chance
1–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Inter (X2): 87% probability, best odds 1.12.

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Venezia vs Inter: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Venezia are 20th in the table, on 3 points after 10 matches (1W 0D 9L), and Inter are 2nd, on 25 points (8W 1D 1L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average Venezia score 0.8 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.1; for Inter the figures are 2.9 scored and 1.3 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Venezia: 1W 0D 7L, goals 6–17; Inter: 7W 1D 0L, goals 23–10.
  4. Head to head. From 6 meetings: 0 wins for Venezia, 6 wins for Inter and 0 draws, with the goals at 2–13.

What to expect

For us, Inter are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–2 (9.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.62), and we rate it at 58%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 58% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 67% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 6; Venezia 0 wins, 0 draws, Inter 6 wins.
  2. An average of 2.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Venezia 6–17, Inter 23–10.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 67%.
  5. Out: Venezia 4, Inter 5.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 58%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Venezia: A. Adorante, T. Correia, B. Franjic, M. Sverko. Absent for Inter: C. Jones, Luis Henrique, L. Martinez, B. Pavard, J. Stones. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Venezia vs Inter: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price8.055.701.44
Market average7.395.271.38
Lowest odds7.005.001.33
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.141.1084.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.441.4166.9%
Under 2.5 goals3.002.8433.1%
Over 3.5 goals2.132.0646.3%
BTTS – yes1.621.6058.1%
BTTS – no2.302.2241.9%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 28/10/26, 16:28. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.1%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Venezia 1–2 Inter, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Venezia 20th (3 points), Inter 2nd (25 points).
  • Form in the competition: Venezia 1W 0D 7L (6:17), Inter 7W 1D 0L (23:10).
  • H2H: 6 matches: Venezia 0W 0D 6L, goals 2–13.
  • Absences: Venezia 4, Inter 5.

Who will win Venezia vs Inter?

Venezia13%
Draw18%
Inter69%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Venezia vs Inter: more betting tips

Draw or Inter (X2)87.1% · fair odds 1.15 · best 1.12
Likely
Over 1.5 goals84.9% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.14
Likely
Inter to win69.0% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.44
Likely
Over 2.5 goals66.9% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.44
Likely
BTTS – yes58.1% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.62
Possible
Under 3.5 goals53.7% · fair odds 1.86 · best 1.83
Possible
Over 3.5 goals46.3% · fair odds 2.16 · best 2.13
Outsider
BTTS – no41.9% · fair odds 2.39 · best 2.30
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals33.1% · fair odds 3.02 · best 3.00
Outsider
Draw18.1% · fair odds 5.53 · best 5.70
Outsider
Venezia to win12.9% · fair odds 7.75 · best 8.05
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.07 · Under 1.69
probability of over 44.9%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.98 · Under 1.80
probability of over 47.6%

Correct score prediction

1 : 29.5%
0 : 29.5%
1 : 37.8%
0 : 37.8%
1 : 17.8%
0 : 17.8%

Venezia vs Inter: team news and absences

Venezia

  • A. Adoranteabsence · will miss the match
  • T. Correiathigh injury · will miss the match
  • B. Franjicshoulder injury · will miss the match
  • M. Sverkohip injury · will miss the match

Inter

  • C. Jonesthigh injury · will miss the match
  • Luis Henriquethigh injury · will miss the match
  • L. Martinezthigh injury · will miss the match
  • B. Pavardthigh injury · will miss the match
  • J. Stonesinjury · will miss the match

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Lazio109-1-024:828
2Inter108-1-126:1325
3AS Roma107-3-028:1024
4Como107-2-118:823
5AC Milan106-3-121:1221
6Frosinone106-2-224:1420
7Juventus105-2-313:1017
8Napoli104-2-417:1314
9Bologna104-2-414:1314
10Torino104-1-514:1613
11Genoa104-1-510:1413
12Cagliari104-1-59:1513
13Atalanta103-2-516:2011
14Lecce103-0-711:219
15Parma102-2-68:158
16Fiorentina102-2-615:238
17Sassuolo102-2-616:268
18Monza102-1-717:247
19Udinese101-2-711:235
20Venezia101-0-96:203

Recent matches

Venezia

1 NovLComo 1–0 Venezia
28 OctLVenezia 0–2 Inter
25 OctLGenoa 1–0 Venezia
17 OctWVenezia 1–0 Napoli
12 OctLAtalanta 3–1 Venezia

Inter

3 NovWFeyenoord 0–3 Inter
31 OctLAC Milan 3–1 Inter
28 OctWVenezia 0–2 Inter
25 OctWInter 2–1 Fiorentina
21 OctWInter 1–0 Shakhtar Donetsk

Home and away

Venezia at home5 matches: 1W 0D 4L, goals 3–10
Inter away5 matches: 3W 1D 1L, goals 9–6

Team comparison

VeneziaInter
19%Form81%
21%Attack79%
41%Defence59%
0%Head to head100%
15%Goals85%
22.2%Overall77.8%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

VeneziaLLLWL
InterLWWWW

Head to head

All matches
0Venezia
0Draws
6Inter
28/10/26 · Venezia 0–2 Inter
3/12/25 · Inter 5–1 Venezia
12/1/25 · Venezia 0–1 Inter
3/11/24 · Inter 1–0 Venezia
22/1/22 · Inter 2–1 Venezia
27/11/21 · Venezia 0–2 Inter

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.1%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Venezia vs Inter?

Venezia +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.92); Both teams to score (1.62).

Who will win Venezia vs Inter?

We estimate: Venezia win 13%, draw 18%, Inter win 69%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 28 October 2026, kick-off: 17:30, venue: Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venice. Referee: Luca J. Pairetto.

Who will be missing?

Venezia: A. Adorante, T. Correia, B. Franjic, M. Sverko. Inter: C. Jones, Luis Henrique, L. Martinez, B. Pavard, J. Stones. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 67% (odds 1.44); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 33% (odds 3.00).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.62).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–2 as most likely (9.5%), then 0–2 (9.5%) and 1–3 (7.8%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Venezia vs Udinese 6 NovCagliari vs Frosinone 7 NovTorino vs Lecce 7 NovParma vs Bologna 7 NovAS Roma vs Sassuolo 7 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.