Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Rodez v Montpellier: 19 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade Paul Lignon (Rodez), with Geoffrey Kubler refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Rodez vs Montpellier: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Rodez are 11th in the table, on 13 points after 11 matches (4W 1D 6L), and Montpellier are 2nd, on 24 points (7W 3D 1L).
What to expect
For us, Montpellier are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.1%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.57), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 62% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 59% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 59%.
- Out: Rodez 0, Montpellier 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 62%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Rodez: no absences. Absent for Montpellier: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Rodez vs Montpellier: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.35 | 3.85 | 2.24 |
| Market average | 3.07 | 3.57 | 2.11 |
| Lowest odds | 2.66 | 3.24 | 2.05 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.16 | 80.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.57 | 59.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.30 | 40.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.66 | 2.43 | 38.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.50 | 62.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.56 | 2.45 | 37.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 19/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Rodez 1–1 Montpellier, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Rodez 11th (13 points), Montpellier 2nd (24 points).
- Absences: Rodez 0, Montpellier 0.
Who will win Rodez vs Montpellier?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Rodez vs Montpellier: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Rodez vs Montpellier: team news and absences
Rodez
- No reported absences
Montpellier
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 | Montpellier | 11 | 7-3-1 | 16:6 | 24 |
| 3 |  Nancy | 11 | 7-1-3 | 16:9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Reims | 11 | 5-6-0 | 22:12 | 21 |
| 5 |  PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 6 |  RED Star FC 93 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:16 | 17 |
| 7 |  Annecy | 11 | 5-1-5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 8 |  Dijon | 11 | 4-3-4 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 9 |  Guingamp | 11 | 4-2-5 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 10 |  Metz | 11 | 3-5-3 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 11 | Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 12 |  Dunkerque | 11 | 3-3-5 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 13 |  Sochaux | 11 | 2-5-4 | 8:14 | 11 |
| 14 |  Boulogne | 11 | 1-7-3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 15 |  Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 16 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 18 |  Grenoble | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:20 | 8 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Rodez vs Montpellier?
Montpellier -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.99); Both teams to score (1.57).
Who will win Rodez vs Montpellier?
We estimate: Rodez win 30%, draw 26%, Montpellier win 44%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 19 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez. Referee: Geoffrey Kubler.
Who will be missing?
Rodez: no absences. Montpellier: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.65); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 41% (odds 2.42).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 62% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.1%), then 1–2 (9.1%) and 0–1 (8.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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