Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Napoli v Bodø/Glimt: 20 October 2026 · 20:00 at Maradona Stadium (Naples), with José María Sánchez Martínez refereeing. We have Napoli (55%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Napoli are 27th in the table, on 3 points after 4 matches (1W 0D 3L), and Bodø/Glimt are 25th, on 4 points (1W 1D 2L).
- Head to head. From 1 meetings: 1 win for Napoli, 0 wins for Bodø/Glimt and 0 draws, with the goals at 4–3.
What to expect
For us, Napoli are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.1%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), and we rate it at 61%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 61% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 61% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 1; Napoli 1 win, 0 draws, Bodø/Glimt 0 wins.
- An average of 7.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 61%.
- Out: Napoli 0, Bodø/Glimt 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 61%, best price 1.60). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Napoli: no absences. Absent for Bodø/Glimt: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.83 | 4.26 | 4.77 |
| Market average | 1.73 | 4.07 | 4.46 |
| Lowest odds | 1.70 | 3.86 | 4.08 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 81.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.54 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.50 | 2.42 | 38.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.34 | 40.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.60 | 1.53 | 60.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.39 | 39.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Napoli 1–1 Bodø/Glimt, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Napoli 27th (3 points), Bodø/Glimt 25th (4 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Napoli 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–3.
- Absences: Napoli 0, Bodø/Glimt 0.
Who will win Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: team news and absences
Napoli
- No reported absences
Bodø/Glimt
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 4 | 4-0-0 | 20:5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:7 | 12 |
| 3 |  Arsenal | 4 | 3-1-0 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Como | 4 | 3-0-1 | 19:6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 4 | 3-0-1 | 14:6 | 9 |
| 6 |  Aston Villa | 4 | 3-0-1 | 12:6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Manchester City | 4 | 3-0-1 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 8 |  Liverpool | 4 | 3-0-1 | 14:10 | 9 |
| 9 |  Club Brugge KV | 4 | 3-0-1 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 10 |  Sporting CP | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Real Betis | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 3-0-1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bayern München | 4 | 2-2-0 | 12:5 | 8 |
| 14 |  VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 2-1-1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 15 |  Inter | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 16 |  Lask Linz | 4 | 2-0-2 | 10:9 | 6 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Galatasaray | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 19 |  Fenerbahçe | 4 | 1-2-1 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 20 |  AS Roma | 4 | 1-1-2 | 10:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 22 |  Viking | 4 | 1-1-2 | 9:10 | 4 |
| 23 |  Atlético Madrid | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 24 |  PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 25 | Bodø/Glimt | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 26 |  FC Porto | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 27 | Napoli | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 28 |  Villarreal | 4 | 1-0-3 | 8:14 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 4 | 1-0-3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | 1-0-3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 31 |  Sabah FA | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 32 |  Feyenoord | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 33 |  Lens | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:16 | 3 |
| 34 |  Slavia Praha | 4 | 0-1-3 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lille | 4 | 0-1-3 | 4:10 | 1 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 4 | 0-0-4 | 1:17 | 0 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt?
Bodø/Glimt +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.66); Over 2.5 goals (1.57).
Who will win Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt?
We estimate: Napoli win 55%, draw 23%, Bodø/Glimt win 21%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 20 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Maradona Stadium, Naples. Referee: José María Sánchez Martínez.
Who will be missing?
Napoli: no absences. Bodø/Glimt: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.57); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 39% (odds 2.50).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 61% (odds 1.60).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.1%), then 2–1 (9.8%) and 1–0 (8.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.