Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Juventus v Napoli: 1 November 2026 · 19:45 at Allianz Stadium (Turin), with Simone Sozza refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Juventus vs Napoli: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Juventus are 7th in the table, on 17 points after 10 matches (5W 2D 3L), and Napoli are 8th, on 14 points (4W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average Juventus score 1.2 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.1; for Napoli the figures are 1.9 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Juventus: 4W 2D 3L, goals 11–10; Napoli: 4W 2D 3L, goals 17–11.
- Head to head. From 38 meetings: 17 wins for Juventus, 13 wins for Napoli and 8 draws, with the goals at 60–49.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.3%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and we rate it at 56%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 56% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 50% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 38; Juventus 17 wins, 8 draws, Napoli 13 wins.
- An average of 2.9 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Juventus 11–10, Napoli 17–11.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 50%.
- Out: Juventus 9, Napoli 7.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 56%, best price 1.70). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Juventus: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz, J. Ekhator. Absent for Napoli: Alisson Santos, B. Badiashile, A. Buongiorno, David Neres, C. Favasuli, S. Lobotka, L. Spinazzola. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Juventus vs Napoli: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.34 | 3.50 | 3.46 |
| Market average | 2.26 | 3.31 | 3.26 |
| Lowest odds | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.04 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.28 | 73.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.01 | 1.91 | 50.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.99 | 1.91 | 50.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.17 | 29.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.67 | 55.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.10 | 44.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Juventus 1–1 Napoli, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Juventus 7th (17 points), Napoli 8th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Juventus 4W 2D 3L (11:10), Napoli 4W 2D 3L (17:11).
- H2H: 38 matches: Juventus 17W 8D 13L, goals 60–49.
- Absences: Juventus 9, Napoli 7.
Who will win Juventus vs Napoli?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Juventus vs Napoli: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Juventus vs Napoli: team news and absences
Juventus
- Z. Celikmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Conceicaoshoulder injury · will miss the match
- N. Gonzalezcalf injury · will miss the match
- K. Grabaraknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Locatelliknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Miliknot in the squad · will miss the match
- K. Thuramknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Yildizfoot injury · will miss the match
- J. Ekhatormuscle injury · doubtful
Napoli
- Alisson Santosmuscle injury · will miss the match
- B. Badiashileinjury · will miss the match
- A. Buongiornoknee injury · will miss the match
- David Neresthigh injury · will miss the match
- C. Favasulithigh injury · will miss the match
- S. Lobotkaankle injury · will miss the match
- L. Spinazzolathigh injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 | Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Juventus
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
JuventusWLWLDNapoliLWDLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Juventus vs Napoli?
Over 2.5 goals (2.01); Juventus or draw (1X) (1.37).
Who will win Juventus vs Napoli?
We estimate: Juventus win 42%, draw 29%, Napoli win 29%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 1 November 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Allianz Stadium, Turin. Referee: Simone Sozza.
Who will be missing?
Juventus: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz, J. Ekhator. Napoli: Alisson Santos, B. Badiashile, A. Buongiorno, David Neres, C. Favasuli, S. Lobotka, L. Spinazzola. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 2.01); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 50% (odds 1.99).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 56% (odds 1.70).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.3%), then 1–0 (10.2%) and 2–1 (8.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.