Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Northampton play Tranmere at home on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Sixfields Stadium (Northampton); the referee is A. Jackson. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Northampton vs Tranmere: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Northampton are 21st in the table, on 14 points after 13 matches (3W 5D 5L), and Tranmere are 11th, on 19 points (4W 7D 3L).
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.8%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
What stands out is that the table favours the Tranmere, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.73), and we rate it at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 51% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 45% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 45%.
- Out: Northampton 0, Tranmere 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 51%, best price 1.85). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Northampton: no absences. Absent for Tranmere: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Northampton vs Tranmere: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.33 | 3.30 | 3.27 |
| Market average | 2.25 | 3.22 | 3.12 |
| Lowest odds | 2.14 | 3.04 | 2.98 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.35 | 68.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.10 | 44.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 1.70 | 55.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.92 | 3.71 | 25.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.82 | 51.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.90 | 49.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Northampton 1–1 Tranmere, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Northampton 21st (14 points), Tranmere 11th (19 points).
- Absences: Northampton 0, Tranmere 0.
Who will win Northampton vs Tranmere?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Northampton vs Tranmere: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Northampton vs Tranmere: team news and absences
Northampton
- No reported absences
Tranmere
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Northampton
Home and away
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Northampton vs Tranmere?
Draw or Tranmere (X2) (1.65); Under 2.5 goals (1.73).
Who will win Northampton vs Tranmere?
We estimate: Northampton win 41%, draw 29%, Tranmere win 30%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 20 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Sixfields Stadium, Northampton. Referee: A. Jackson.
Who will be missing?
Northampton: no absences. Tranmere: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.18); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 55% (odds 1.73).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 51% (odds 1.85).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.8%), then 1–0 (11.6%) and 0–1 (9.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.