Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Accrington ST against Northampton on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at The Crown Ground (Accrington). This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Accrington ST vs Northampton: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Accrington ST are 9th in the table, on 19 points after 14 matches (4W 7D 3L), and Northampton are 21st, on 14 points (3W 5D 5L).
- Attack and defence. On average Accrington ST score 1.7 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.2; for Northampton the figures are 0.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Accrington ST: 4W 6D 3L, goals 22–16; Northampton: 3W 4D 4L, goals 8–8.
- Head to head. From 12 meetings: 3 wins for Accrington ST, 5 wins for Northampton and 4 draws, with the goals at 13–19.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (13.0%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.67), and we rate it at 57%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 50% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 43% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 12; Accrington ST 3 wins, 4 draws, Northampton 5 wins.
- An average of 2.7 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Accrington ST 22–16, Northampton 8–8.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 43%.
- Out: Accrington ST 0, Northampton 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 50%, best price 1.87). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Accrington ST: no absences. Absent for Northampton: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Accrington ST vs Northampton: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.45 |
| Market average | 2.21 | 3.16 | 3.25 |
| Lowest odds | 2.02 | 2.95 | 2.98 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.36 | 68.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.26 | 2.17 | 43.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.65 | 56.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.20 | 3.99 | 23.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.87 | 1.85 | 50.1% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.85 | 49.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 13:41. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Accrington ST 1–1 Northampton, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Accrington ST 9th (19 points), Northampton 21st (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Accrington ST 4W 6D 3L (22:16), Northampton 3W 4D 4L (8:8).
- H2H: 12 matches: Accrington ST 3W 4D 5L, goals 13–19.
- Absences: Accrington ST 0, Northampton 0.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Northampton?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Accrington ST vs Northampton: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Accrington ST vs Northampton: team news and absences
Accrington ST
- No reported absences
Northampton
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Accrington ST
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Accrington STDWDWDNorthamptonLDWLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Accrington ST vs Northampton?
Accrington ST -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.95); Under 2.5 goals (1.67).
Who will win Accrington ST vs Northampton?
We estimate: Accrington ST win 42%, draw 29%, Northampton win 29%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: The Crown Ground, Accrington.
Who will be missing?
Accrington ST: no absences. Northampton: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.26); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 57% (odds 1.67).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 50% (odds 1.87).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (13.0%), then 1–0 (12.4%) and 0–1 (10.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.