Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Mjällby AIF v Hammarby FF: 25 October 2026 · 15:30 at Strandvallen (Hällevik), with Victor Wolf refereeing. We have Hammarby FF (66%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Mjällby AIF are 12th in the table, on 27 points after 27 matches (6W 9D 12L), and Hammarby FF are 2nd, on 55 points (17W 4D 6L).
- Attack and defence. On average Mjällby AIF score 1.2 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.7; for Hammarby FF the figures are 2.1 scored and 0.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Mjällby AIF: 5W 8D 11L, goals 28–40; Hammarby FF: 14W 4D 6L, goals 50–21.
- Head to head. From 17 meetings: 7 wins for Mjällby AIF, 8 wins for Hammarby FF and 2 draws, with the goals at 18–27.
What to expect
For us, Hammarby FF are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 0–2 (10.4%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.58), and we rate it at 61%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 54% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 61% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 17; Mjällby AIF 7 wins, 2 draws, Hammarby FF 8 wins.
- An average of 2.6 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Mjällby AIF 28–40, Hammarby FF 50–21.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 61%.
- Out: Mjällby AIF 4, Hammarby FF 1.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Mjällby AIF: V. Dalsgaard, M. Isaksson, T. Stavitski, L. Tidstrand. Absent for Hammarby FF: B. Hedlof. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 6.99 | 4.83 | 1.45 |
| Market average | 6.58 | 4.64 | 1.42 |
| Lowest odds | 6.45 | 4.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.58 | 1.53 | 60.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.37 | 39.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.36 | 39.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.04 | 45.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 12:03. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Mjällby AIF 0–2 Hammarby FF, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Mjällby AIF 12th (27 points), Hammarby FF 2nd (55 points).
- Form in the competition: Mjällby AIF 5W 8D 11L (28:40), Hammarby FF 14W 4D 6L (50:21).
- H2H: 17 matches: Mjällby AIF 7W 2D 8L, goals 18–27.
- Absences: Mjällby AIF 4, Hammarby FF 1.
Who will win Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: team news and absences
Mjällby AIF
- V. Dalsgaardinjury · will miss the match
- M. Isakssonnot in the squad · will miss the match
- T. Stavitskiback injury · will miss the match
- L. Tidstrandabsence · will miss the match
Hammarby FF
- B. Hedlofhip injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sirius | 27 | 18-4-5 | 58:34 | 58 |
| 2 | Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 |  Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 | Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 27 | 4-5-18 | 18:51 | 17 |
Recent matches
Mjällby AIF
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Mjällby AIFDWLLDHammarby FFWWWWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF?
Mjällby AIF +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.91); Over 2.5 goals (1.58).
Who will win Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF?
We estimate: Mjällby AIF win 14%, draw 20%, Hammarby FF win 66%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 15:30, venue: Strandvallen, Hällevik. Referee: Victor Wolf.
Who will be missing?
Mjällby AIF: V. Dalsgaard, M. Isaksson, T. Stavitski, L. Tidstrand. Hammarby FF: B. Hedlof. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.58); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 39% (odds 2.45).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.75).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 0–2 as most likely (10.4%), then 1–2 (9.9%) and 0–1 (9.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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