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Chance Liga · Matchweek 11 · 17 October 2026 · 14:00

Pardubice vs Zlín: prediction, tip and odds, 17 October 2026, Chance Liga

3–0
DDLLD
1Pardubice1.65
XDraw4.56
2Zlín6.71

Best price · Updated 17/10/26, 12:01

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Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Pardubice play Zlín at home on 17 October 2026 · 14:00 at Letní Stadion (Pardubice); the referee is Lukáš Nehasil. For us, Pardubice (62%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.

Pardubice vs Zlín: tip and prediction
Handicap
Pardubice -1 (Asian handicap)
2.20
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.80
Combo
Pardubice + over 2.5 goals combined
2.52
40% · fair odds for the combo
51%Chance
1–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Pardubice or draw (1X): 85% probability, best odds 1.18.

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Pardubice vs Zlín: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Pardubice are 12th in the table, on 14 points after 13 matches (4W 2D 7L), and Zlín are 16th, on 3 points (0W 3D 10L).

What to expect

For us, Pardubice are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–0 (11.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.80), and we rate it at 53%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 49% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 53% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 53%.
  2. Out: Pardubice 0, Zlín 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – no

Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 51%, best price 1.85). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Pardubice: no absences. Absent for Zlín: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Pardubice vs Zlín: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price1.654.566.71
Market average1.484.186.11
Lowest odds1.443.604.75
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.251.2275.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.801.7752.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.051.9947.1%
Over 3.5 goals3.002.8932.0%
BTTS – yes1.951.8949.0%
BTTS – no1.851.8151.0%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 17/10/26, 12:01. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.3%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Pardubice 1–0 Zlín, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Pardubice 12th (14 points), Zlín 16th (3 points).
  • Absences: Pardubice 0, Zlín 0.

Who will win Pardubice vs Zlín?

Pardubice62%
Draw22%
Zlín15%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Pardubice vs Zlín: more betting tips

Pardubice or draw (1X)84.7% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.18
Likely
Over 1.5 goals75.7% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.25
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.0% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.40
Likely
Pardubice to win62.5% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.65
Likely
Over 2.5 goals52.9% · fair odds 1.89 · best 1.80
Possible
BTTS – no51.0% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.85
Possible
BTTS – yes49.0% · fair odds 2.04 · best 1.95
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals47.1% · fair odds 2.12 · best 2.05
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals32.0% · fair odds 3.12 · best 3.00
Outsider
Draw22.2% · fair odds 4.51 · best 4.56
Outsider
Zlín to win15.3% · fair odds 6.53 · best 6.71
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.77 · Under 1.98
probability of over 52.7%

Correct score prediction

1 : 011.9%
2 : 011.6%
1 : 110.1%
2 : 19.8%
3 : 07.5%
3 : 16.4%

Pardubice vs Zlín: team news and absences

Pardubice

  • No reported absences

Zlín

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Slavia Praha139-4-032:731
2Mladá Boleslav137-3-322:1524
3Sigma Olomouc137-3-322:1524
4Sparta Praha137-2-425:1323
5Slovan Liberec127-2-315:823
6Teplice136-3-421:1821
7FK Jablonec136-2-516:1820
8Bohemians 1905135-5-315:1420
9Zbrojovka Brno136-2-516:1920
10Plzeň135-4-428:2119
11Hradec Králové134-3-612:1815
12Pardubice134-2-715:1914
13Baník Ostrava123-2-77:2211
14Artis132-4-714:2410
15Slovácko131-4-812:267
16Zlín130-3-1011:263

Recent matches

Pardubice

31 OctLPardubice 1–2 Slovan Liberec
25 OctWPlzeň 1–2 Pardubice
17 OctWPardubice 3–0 Zlín
11 OctLSparta Praha 2–0 Pardubice
19 SeptWPardubice 2–1 Bohemians 1905

Zlín

31 OctDArtis 2–2 Zlín
24 OctDZlín 1–1 Sigma Olomouc
17 OctLPardubice 3–0 Zlín
9 OctLZlín 0–1 Slavia Praha
20 SeptDFK Jablonec 1–1 Zlín

Home and away

Pardubice at home6 matches: 2W 1D 3L, goals 8–8
Zlín away6 matches: 0W 2D 4L, goals 8–15

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.3%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Pardubice vs Zlín?

Pardubice -1 (Asian handicap) (2.20); Over 2.5 goals (1.80).

Who will win Pardubice vs Zlín?

We estimate: Pardubice win 62%, draw 22%, Zlín win 15%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 17 October 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: Letní Stadion, Pardubice. Referee: Lukáš Nehasil.

Who will be missing?

Pardubice: no absences. Zlín: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.80); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 47% (odds 2.05).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 49% (odds 1.95).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–0 as most likely (11.9%), then 2–0 (11.6%) and 1–1 (10.1%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Zlín vs Slovácko 7 NovSlovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 7 NovHradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc 7 NovZbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava 7 NovTeplice vs Pardubice 8 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.