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Chance Liga · Matchweek 12 · 25 October 2026 · 17:00

Plzeň vs Pardubice: prediction, tip and odds, 25 October 2026, Chance Liga

WLWWL
1–2
1Plzeň1.69
XDraw4.31
2Pardubice4.75

Best price · Updated 25/10/26, 16:54

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Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Plzeň v Pardubice: 25 October 2026 · 17:00 at Doosan Arena (Pilsner), with Daniel Vokoun refereeing. We have Plzeň (56%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Plzeň vs Pardubice: tip and prediction
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.65
Result
Plzeň to win
1.69
Combo
Plzeň + over 2.5 goals combined
2.57
39% · fair odds for the combo
59%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Plzeň or draw (1X): 79% probability, best odds 1.22.

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Plzeň vs Pardubice: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Plzeň are 10th in the table, on 19 points after 13 matches (5W 4D 4L), and Pardubice are 12th, on 14 points (4W 2D 7L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average Plzeň score 2.1 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.7; for Pardubice the figures are 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Plzeň: 4W 4D 3L, goals 23–19; Pardubice: 3W 2D 6L, goals 12–16.
  4. Head to head. From 13 meetings: 8 wins for Plzeň, 3 wins for Pardubice and 2 draws, with the goals at 27–13.

What to expect

For us, Plzeň are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.2%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 58% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 59% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 13; Plzeň 8 wins, 2 draws, Pardubice 3 wins.
  2. An average of 3.1 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Plzeň 23–19, Pardubice 12–16.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 59%.
  5. Out: Plzeň 0, Pardubice 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, best price 1.65). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Plzeň: no absences. Absent for Pardubice: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Plzeň vs Pardubice: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price1.694.314.75
Market average1.644.024.47
Lowest odds1.593.714.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1680.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.651.5759.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.392.2840.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.622.4538.3%
BTTS – yes1.671.6057.9%
BTTS – no2.252.2042.1%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 16:54. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.4%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Plzeň 1–1 Pardubice, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Plzeň 10th (19 points), Pardubice 12th (14 points).
  • Form in the competition: Plzeň 4W 4D 3L (23:19), Pardubice 3W 2D 6L (12:16).
  • H2H: 13 matches: Plzeň 8W 2D 3L, goals 27–13.
  • Absences: Plzeň 0, Pardubice 0.

Who will win Plzeň vs Pardubice?

Plzeň56%
Draw23%
Pardubice21%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Plzeň vs Pardubice: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals80.0% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.20
Likely
Plzeň or draw (1X)79.3% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.22
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.7% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals59.2% · fair odds 1.69 · best 1.65
Possible
BTTS – yes57.9% · fair odds 1.73 · best 1.67
Possible
Plzeň to win56.3% · fair odds 1.78 · best 1.69
Possible
BTTS – no42.1% · fair odds 2.37 · best 2.25
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals40.8% · fair odds 2.45 · best 2.39
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.3% · fair odds 2.61 · best 2.62
Outsider
Draw23.0% · fair odds 4.35 · best 4.31
Outsider
Pardubice to win20.7% · fair odds 4.84 · best 4.75
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.07 · Under 1.68
probability of over 44.8%

Correct score prediction

1 : 110.2%
2 : 19.9%
1 : 09.2%
2 : 09.0%
3 : 16.4%
3 : 05.9%

Plzeň vs Pardubice: team news and absences

Plzeň

  • No reported absences

Pardubice

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Slavia Praha139-4-032:731
2Mladá Boleslav137-3-322:1524
3Sigma Olomouc137-3-322:1524
4Sparta Praha137-2-425:1323
5Slovan Liberec127-2-315:823
6Teplice136-3-421:1821
7FK Jablonec136-2-516:1820
8Bohemians 1905135-5-315:1420
9Zbrojovka Brno136-2-516:1920
10Plzeň135-4-428:2119
11Hradec Králové134-3-612:1815
12Pardubice134-2-715:1914
13Baník Ostrava123-2-77:2211
14Artis132-4-714:2410
15Slovácko131-4-812:267
16Zlín130-3-1011:263

Recent matches

Plzeň

1 NovWBaník Ostrava 0–4 Plzeň
25 OctLPlzeň 1–2 Pardubice
22 OctLPlzeň 1–2 Levski Sofia
18 OctWFK Jablonec 2–3 Plzeň
15 OctLFerencvárosi TC 2–1 Plzeň

Pardubice

31 OctLPardubice 1–2 Slovan Liberec
25 OctWPlzeň 1–2 Pardubice
17 OctWPardubice 3–0 Zlín
11 OctLSparta Praha 2–0 Pardubice
19 SeptWPardubice 2–1 Bohemians 1905

Home and away

Plzeň at home7 matches: 2W 2D 3L, goals 12–12
Pardubice away7 matches: 2W 1D 4L, goals 7–11

Team comparison

PlzeňPardubice
41%Form59%
56%Attack44%
36%Defence64%
71%Head to head29%
71%Goals29%
56.7%Overall43.3%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

PlzeňWLWWL
PardubiceLWWLW

Head to head

All matches
8Plzeň
2Draws
3Pardubice
25/10/26 · Plzeň 1–2 Pardubice
19/4/26 · Plzeň 0–1 Pardubice
18/7/25 · Pardubice 1–5 Plzeň
9/3/25 · Pardubice 0–0 Plzeň
6/10/24 · Plzeň 2–0 Pardubice
2/3/24 · Pardubice 2–3 Plzeň

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.4%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Plzeň vs Pardubice?

Over 2.5 goals (1.65); Plzeň to win (1.69).

Who will win Plzeň vs Pardubice?

We estimate: Plzeň win 56%, draw 23%, Pardubice win 21%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 17:00, venue: Doosan Arena, Pilsner. Referee: Daniel Vokoun.

Who will be missing?

Plzeň: no absences. Pardubice: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.65); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 41% (odds 2.39).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.67).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.2%), then 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.2%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Zlín vs Slovácko 7 NovSlovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 7 NovHradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc 7 NovZbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava 7 NovTeplice vs Pardubice 8 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.