Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Port Vale play Rochdale at home on 31 October 2026 · 12:30 at Vale Park (Stoke-On-Trent); the referee is E. Heaslip. For us, Port Vale (57%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Port Vale vs Rochdale: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Port Vale are 19th in the table, on 15 points after 12 matches (4W 3D 5L), and Rochdale are 20th, on 15 points (4W 3D 7L).
- Attack and defence. On average Port Vale score 0.5 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.1; for Rochdale the figures are 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Port Vale: 3W 3D 5L, goals 6–12; Rochdale: 4W 3D 6L, goals 15–22.
- Head to head. From 15 meetings: 7 wins for Port Vale, 5 wins for Rochdale and 3 draws, with the goals at 24–21.
What to expect
For us, Port Vale are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–0 (12.4%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.88), and we rate it at 51%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 49% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 49% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 15; Port Vale 7 wins, 3 draws, Rochdale 5 wins.
- An average of 3.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Port Vale 6–12, Rochdale 15–22.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 49%.
- Out: Port Vale 0, Rochdale 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – no
Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 51%, best price 1.87). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Port Vale: no absences. Absent for Rochdale: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Port Vale vs Rochdale: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.65 | 3.95 | 5.66 |
| Market average | 1.63 | 3.75 | 5.13 |
| Lowest odds | 1.60 | 3.26 | 4.18 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.28 | 72.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.97 | 1.93 | 48.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.88 | 1.83 | 51.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.28 | 28.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.93 | 1.90 | 48.8% |
| BTTS – no | 1.87 | 1.81 | 51.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 09:43. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Port Vale 1–0 Rochdale, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Port Vale 19th (15 points), Rochdale 20th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Port Vale 3W 3D 5L (6:12), Rochdale 4W 3D 6L (15:22).
- H2H: 15 matches: Port Vale 7W 3D 5L, goals 24–21.
- Absences: Port Vale 0, Rochdale 0.
Who will win Port Vale vs Rochdale?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Port Vale vs Rochdale: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Port Vale vs Rochdale: team news and absences
Port Vale
- No reported absences
Rochdale
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Port Vale
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Port ValeWLDWWRochdaleLLDLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Port Vale vs Rochdale?
Port Vale -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Under 2.5 goals (1.88).
Who will win Port Vale vs Rochdale?
We estimate: Port Vale win 57%, draw 25%, Rochdale win 18%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 12:30, venue: Vale Park, Stoke-On-Trent. Referee: E. Heaslip.
Who will be missing?
Port Vale: no absences. Rochdale: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 1.97); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 51% (odds 1.88).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 49% (odds 1.93).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–0 as most likely (12.4%), then 1–1 (11.1%) and 2–0 (10.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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