Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–5. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Rochdale v Accrington ST: 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Spotland Stadium (Rochdale), with R. Watkins refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Rochdale vs Accrington ST: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Rochdale are 20th in the table, on 15 points after 14 matches (4W 3D 7L), and Accrington ST are 9th, on 19 points (4W 7D 3L).
- Head to head. From 12 meetings: 8 wins for Rochdale, 3 wins for Accrington ST and 1 draw, with the goals at 20–20.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.4%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.73), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 54% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 49% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 12; Rochdale 8 wins, 1 draw, Accrington ST 3 wins.
- An average of 3.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 49%.
- Out: Rochdale 0, Accrington ST 0.
Alternative tip: Draw or Accrington ST (X2)
Alternative tip: Draw or Accrington ST (X2) (probability 67%, best price 1.50). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Rochdale: no absences. Absent for Accrington ST: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Rochdale vs Accrington ST: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.91 | 3.47 | 2.44 |
| Market average | 2.86 | 3.38 | 2.36 |
| Lowest odds | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.27 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.28 | 72.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.90 | 49.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.89 | 1.85 | 50.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.34 | 3.21 | 28.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.03 | 45.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 13:59. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.0%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Rochdale 1–1 Accrington ST, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Rochdale 20th (15 points), Accrington ST 9th (19 points).
- H2H: 12 matches: Rochdale 8W 1D 3L, goals 20–20.
- Absences: Rochdale 0, Accrington ST 0.
Who will win Rochdale vs Accrington ST?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Rochdale vs Accrington ST: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Rochdale vs Accrington ST: team news and absences
Rochdale
- No reported absences
Accrington ST
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Rochdale
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Rochdale vs Accrington ST?
Draw or Accrington ST (X2) (1.50); Both teams to score (1.73).
Who will win Rochdale vs Accrington ST?
We estimate: Rochdale win 33%, draw 28%, Accrington ST win 40%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: Spotland Stadium, Rochdale. Referee: R. Watkins.
Who will be missing?
Rochdale: no absences. Accrington ST: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 1.95); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 51% (odds 1.89).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.73).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.4%), then 0–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (8.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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