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UEFA Champions League · league phase, matchday 3 · 20 October 2026 · 17:45

Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund: prediction, tip and odds, 20 October 2026, UEFA Champions League

1Sabah FA11.25
XDraw6.50
2Borussia Dortmund1.32

Best price · Updated 20/10/26, 16:24

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisH2HFAQ

Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Sabah FA v Borussia Dortmund: 20 October 2026 · 17:45 at Baku Olympic Stadium (Baku), with Javier Alberola Rojas refereeing. We have Borussia Dortmund (74%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund: tip and prediction
Handicap
Borussia Dortmund -1.5 (Asian handicap)
1.85
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.45
Combo
Borussia Dortmund + over 2.5 goals combined
1.79
56% · fair odds for the combo
55%Chance
0–2likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Borussia Dortmund (X2): 90% probability, best odds 1.09.

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Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Sabah FA are 31st in the table, on 3 points after 4 matches (1W 0D 3L), and Borussia Dortmund are 12th, on 9 points (3W 0D 1L).
  2. Head to head. From 1 meetings: 0 wins for Sabah FA, 1 win for Borussia Dortmund and 0 draws, with the goals at 1–2.

What to expect

For us, Borussia Dortmund are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–3 score, roughly 4 goals in all, with 0–2 (10.7%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.45), and we rate it at 67%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 53% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 67% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 1; Sabah FA 0 wins, 0 draws, Borussia Dortmund 1 win.
  2. An average of 3.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 67%.
  4. Out: Sabah FA 0, Borussia Dortmund 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 54%, best price 1.83). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Sabah FA: no absences. Absent for Borussia Dortmund: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price11.256.501.32
Market average9.696.161.29
Lowest odds8.875.501.25
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.141.1084.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.451.4167.1%
Under 2.5 goals3.002.8732.9%
Over 3.5 goals2.232.0846.2%
BTTS – yes1.801.7653.1%
BTTS – no2.101.9946.9%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 20/10/26, 16:24. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.4%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Sabah FA 0–2 Borussia Dortmund, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Sabah FA 31st (3 points), Borussia Dortmund 12th (9 points).
  • H2H: 1 match: Sabah FA 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–2.
  • Absences: Sabah FA 0, Borussia Dortmund 0.

Who will win Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund?

Sabah FA10%
Draw16%
Borussia Dortmund74%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund: more betting tips

Draw or Borussia Dortmund (X2)90.1% · fair odds 1.11 · best 1.09
Likely
Over 1.5 goals84.8% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.14
Likely
Borussia Dortmund to win74.5% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.32
Likely
Over 2.5 goals67.1% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.45
Likely
Under 3.5 goals53.8% · fair odds 1.86 · best 1.83
Possible
BTTS – yes53.1% · fair odds 1.88 · best 1.80
Possible
BTTS – no46.9% · fair odds 2.13 · best 2.10
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals46.2% · fair odds 2.17 · best 2.23
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals32.9% · fair odds 3.04 · best 3.00
Outsider
Draw15.6% · fair odds 6.42 · best 6.50
Outsider
Sabah FA to win9.9% · fair odds 10.07 · best 11.25
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.73 · Under 2.01
probability of over 53.7%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 2.23 · Under 1.61
probability of over 41.9%

Correct score prediction

0 : 210.7%
0 : 39.3%
1 : 29.1%
0 : 18.3%
1 : 37.9%
1 : 17.0%

Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund: team news and absences

Sabah FA

  • No reported absences

Borussia Dortmund

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain44-0-020:512
2Real Madrid44-0-013:712
3Arsenal43-1-08:310
4Como43-0-119:69
5Barcelona43-0-114:69
6Aston Villa43-0-112:69
7Manchester City43-0-112:79
8Liverpool43-0-114:109
9Club Brugge KV43-0-111:79
10Sporting CP43-0-18:49
11Real Betis43-0-18:69
12Borussia Dortmund43-0-17:59
13Bayern München42-2-012:58
14VfB Stuttgart42-1-17:47
15Inter42-0-28:66
16Lask Linz42-0-210:96
17Manchester United42-0-28:86
18Galatasaray42-0-28:96
19Fenerbahçe41-2-16:115
20AS Roma41-1-210:84
21Shakhtar Donetsk41-1-24:44
22Viking41-1-29:104
23Atlético Madrid41-1-24:54
24PSV Eindhoven41-1-23:44
25Bodø/Glimt41-1-24:94
26FC Porto41-0-36:73
27Napoli41-0-36:113
28Villarreal41-0-38:143
29AEK Athens FC41-0-35:113
30RB Leipzig41-0-35:113
31Sabah FA41-0-34:103
32Feyenoord41-0-34:113
33Lens41-0-34:163
34Slavia Praha40-1-35:91
35Lille40-1-34:101
36Slovan Bratislava40-0-41:170

Recent matches

Sabah FA

4 NovLViking 4–1 Sabah FA
20 OctLSabah FA 1–2 Borussia Dortmund
13 OctWSabah FA 2–0 Slavia Praha
10 SeptLManchester United 4–0 Sabah FA
25 AugWSabah FA 5–2 Hapoel Beer Sheva

Borussia Dortmund

4 NovWBorussia Dortmund 2–1 Real Betis
31 OctDBayern München 2–2 Borussia Dortmund
24 OctWBorussia Dortmund 1–0 Eintracht Frankfurt
20 OctWSabah FA 1–2 Borussia Dortmund
17 OctDUnion Berlin 0–0 Borussia Dortmund

Home and away

Sabah FA at home2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 3–2
Borussia Dortmund away2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 2–2

Head to head

All matches
0Sabah FA
0Draws
1Borussia Dortmund
20/10/26 · Sabah FA 1–2 Borussia Dortmund

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.4%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund?

Borussia Dortmund -1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Over 2.5 goals (1.45).

Who will win Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund?

We estimate: Sabah FA win 10%, draw 16%, Borussia Dortmund win 74%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 20 October 2026, kick-off: 17:45, venue: Baku Olympic Stadium, Baku. Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas.

Who will be missing?

Sabah FA: no absences. Borussia Dortmund: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 67% (odds 1.45); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 33% (odds 3.00).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 53% (odds 1.80).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 0–2 as most likely (10.7%), then 0–3 (9.3%) and 1–2 (9.1%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.