Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Omonia Nicosia v Benfica: 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at GSP Stadium (Nicosia), with Jasper Vergoote refereeing. We have Benfica (73%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Omonia Nicosia are 11th in the table, on 6 points after 3 matches (2W 0D 1L), and Benfica are 2nd, on 9 points (3W 0D 0L).
- Head to head. From 1 meetings: 0 wins for Omonia Nicosia, 1 win for Benfica and 0 draws, with the goals at 1–4.
What to expect
For us, Benfica are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 0–2 (11.1%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 51% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 63% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 1; Omonia Nicosia 0 wins, 0 draws, Benfica 1 win.
- An average of 5.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 63%.
- Out: Omonia Nicosia 0, Benfica 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 57%, best price 1.69). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Omonia Nicosia: no absences. Absent for Benfica: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 9.50 | 6.07 | 1.33 |
| Market average | 9.02 | 5.72 | 1.30 |
| Lowest odds | 7.91 | 5.00 | 1.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 82.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.52 | 1.48 | 63.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.64 | 2.57 | 36.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.22 | 42.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.81 | 51.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.92 | 48.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 22/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Omonia Nicosia 0–2 Benfica, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Omonia Nicosia 11th (6 points), Benfica 2nd (9 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Omonia Nicosia 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–4.
- Absences: Omonia Nicosia 0, Benfica 0.
Who will win Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica: team news and absences
Omonia Nicosia
- No reported absences
Benfica
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 2 | Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 4 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 | Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Rennes | 4 | 1-3-0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
Benfica -1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.87); Over 2.5 goals (1.52).
Who will win Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
We estimate: Omonia Nicosia win 11%, draw 17%, Benfica win 73%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 22 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: GSP Stadium, Nicosia. Referee: Jasper Vergoote.
Who will be missing?
Omonia Nicosia: no absences. Benfica: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 63% (odds 1.52); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 37% (odds 2.64).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 51% (odds 1.85).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 0–2 as most likely (11.1%), then 1–2 (9.4%) and 0–3 (9.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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