Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 5–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Union Saint-Gilloise against Cercle Brugge on 25 October 2026 · 18:15 at Stade Joseph Marien (Brussels), and Wesli De Cremer, Belgium will referee. Union Saint-Gilloise (71%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Union Saint-Gilloise are 2nd in the table, on 26 points after 10 matches (8W 2D 0L), and Cercle Brugge are 17th, on 6 points (1W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. On average Union Saint-Gilloise score 2.8 goals a match in the competition and concede 0.5; for Cercle Brugge the figures are 1.1 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Union Saint-Gilloise: 6W 2D 0L, goals 22–4; Cercle Brugge: 0W 3D 5L, goals 9–16.
- Head to head. From 23 meetings: 12 wins for Union Saint-Gilloise, 6 wins for Cercle Brugge and 5 draws, with the goals at 42–31.
What to expect
For us, Union Saint-Gilloise are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–0 (11.3%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.53), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 52% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 62% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 23; Union Saint-Gilloise 12 wins, 5 draws, Cercle Brugge 6 wins.
- An average of 3.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Union Saint-Gilloise 22–4, Cercle Brugge 9–16.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 62%.
- Out: Union Saint-Gilloise 0, Cercle Brugge 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, best price 1.65). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Union Saint-Gilloise: no absences. Absent for Cercle Brugge: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.36 | 5.96 | 9.25 |
| Market average | 1.31 | 5.30 | 8.22 |
| Lowest odds | 1.25 | 4.81 | 6.66 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 82.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 1.50 | 62.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.66 | 2.48 | 37.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.37 | 2.29 | 41.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.77 | 52.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.94 | 47.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Union Saint-Gilloise 2–0 Cercle Brugge, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Union Saint-Gilloise 2nd (26 points), Cercle Brugge 17th (6 points).
- Form in the competition: Union Saint-Gilloise 6W 2D 0L (22:4), Cercle Brugge 0W 3D 5L (9:16).
- H2H: 23 matches: Union Saint-Gilloise 12W 5D 6L, goals 42–31.
- Absences: Union Saint-Gilloise 0, Cercle Brugge 0.
Who will win Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: team news and absences
Union Saint-Gilloise
- No reported absences
Cercle Brugge
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Brugge KV | 10 | 9-0-1 | 26:8 | 27 |
| 2 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 10 | 8-2-0 | 29:7 | 26 |
| 3 |  Gent | 10 | 8-1-1 | 19:6 | 25 |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 10 | 8-0-2 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 10 | 6-1-3 | 13:11 | 19 |
| 6 |  Genk | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 7 |  Lommel United | 10 | 4-3-3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 8 |  KVC Westerlo | 10 | 4-2-4 | 25:25 | 14 |
| 9 |  Standard Liège | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  KV Mechelen | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 11 |  Zulte Waregem | 10 | 3-2-5 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 12 |  Antwerp | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 13 |  SK Beveren | 10 | 3-1-6 | 13:20 | 10 |
| 14 |  OH Leuven | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 15 |  St. Truiden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 18:21 | 8 |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 10 | 2-1-7 | 13:23 | 7 |
| 17 | Cercle Brugge | 10 | 1-3-6 | 13:22 | 6 |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 10 | 1-1-8 | 4:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Union Saint-GilloiseWWDWWCercle BruggeWLLLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
Cercle Brugge +1.75 (Asian handicap) (1.73); Over 2.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
We estimate: Union Saint-Gilloise win 71%, draw 18%, Cercle Brugge win 11%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 18:15, venue: Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels. Referee: Wesli De Cremer, Belgium.
Who will be missing?
Union Saint-Gilloise: no absences. Cercle Brugge: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.53); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 38% (odds 2.66).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 52% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–0 as most likely (11.3%), then 1–0 (9.6%) and 2–1 (9.6%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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