Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Union Saint-Gilloise v Hapoel Beer Sheva: 22 October 2026 · 17:45 at Merkur Spielarena (Düsseldorf), with Mikola Balakin refereeing. We have Union Saint-Gilloise (66%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Union Saint-Gilloise are 6th in the table, on 7 points after 3 matches (2W 1D 0L), and Hapoel Beer Sheva are 30th, on 1 point (0W 1D 2L).
- Head to head. From 1 meetings: 1 win for Union Saint-Gilloise, 0 wins for Hapoel Beer Sheva and 0 draws, with the goals at 4–0.
What to expect
For us, Union Saint-Gilloise are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–0 (10.3%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 55% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 62% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 1; Union Saint-Gilloise 1 win, 0 draws, Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 wins.
- An average of 4.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 62%.
- Out: Union Saint-Gilloise 0, Hapoel Beer Sheva 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, best price 1.63). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Union Saint-Gilloise: no absences. Absent for Hapoel Beer Sheva: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.48 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| Market average | 1.43 | 4.78 | 6.70 |
| Lowest odds | 1.28 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 81.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.52 | 61.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.46 | 38.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.33 | 40.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.69 | 55.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.09 | 44.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 22/10/26, 16:29. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Union Saint-Gilloise 2–0 Hapoel Beer Sheva, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Union Saint-Gilloise 6th (7 points), Hapoel Beer Sheva 30th (1 point).
- H2H: 1 match: Union Saint-Gilloise 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–0.
- Absences: Union Saint-Gilloise 0, Hapoel Beer Sheva 0.
Who will win Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: team news and absences
Union Saint-Gilloise
- No reported absences
Hapoel Beer Sheva
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 4 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 6 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Rennes | 4 | 1-3-0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Hapoel Beer Sheva +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.96); Over 2.5 goals (1.57).
Who will win Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
We estimate: Union Saint-Gilloise win 66%, draw 20%, Hapoel Beer Sheva win 14%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 22 October 2026, kick-off: 17:45, venue: Merkur Spielarena, Düsseldorf. Referee: Mikola Balakin.
Who will be missing?
Union Saint-Gilloise: no absences. Hapoel Beer Sheva: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.57); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 38% (odds 2.62).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 55% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–0 as most likely (10.3%), then 2–1 (9.8%) and 1–0 (9.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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