Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
PEC Zwolle v ADO Den Haag: 1 November 2026 · 11:15 at MAC³PARK Stadion (Zwolle), with Jeroen Manschot refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. PEC Zwolle are 14th in the table, on 11 points after 11 matches (3W 2D 6L), and ADO Den Haag are 17th, on 6 points (1W 3D 7L).
- Attack and defence. On average PEC Zwolle score 1.1 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.3; for ADO Den Haag the figures are 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. PEC Zwolle: 2W 2D 6L, goals 11–23; ADO Den Haag: 1W 3D 6L, goals 13–23.
- Head to head. From 20 meetings: 11 wins for PEC Zwolle, 7 wins for ADO Den Haag and 2 draws, with the goals at 37–27.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–1 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (10.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 63% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 59% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 20; PEC Zwolle 11 wins, 2 draws, ADO Den Haag 7 wins.
- An average of 3.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: PEC Zwolle 11–23, ADO Den Haag 13–23.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 59%.
- Out: PEC Zwolle 2, ADO Den Haag 2.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 63%, best price 1.50). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for PEC Zwolle: S. Floranus, F. Krastev. Absent for ADO Den Haag: D. Barany, L. Reischl. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.31 | 3.83 | 3.05 |
| Market average | 2.24 | 3.63 | 2.90 |
| Lowest odds | 2.05 | 3.29 | 2.78 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 80.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.64 | 1.59 | 59.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.33 | 40.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.50 | 2.42 | 38.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.49 | 62.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.48 | 37.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 06:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.0%.
At a glance
- Likely result: PEC Zwolle 1–1 ADO Den Haag, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: PEC Zwolle 14th (11 points), ADO Den Haag 17th (6 points).
- Form in the competition: PEC Zwolle 2W 2D 6L (11:23), ADO Den Haag 1W 3D 6L (13:23).
- H2H: 20 matches: PEC Zwolle 11W 2D 7L, goals 37–27.
- Absences: PEC Zwolle 2, ADO Den Haag 2.
Who will win PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: team news and absences
PEC Zwolle
- S. Floranusinjury · will miss the match
- F. KrastevAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
ADO Den Haag
- D. Baranythigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Reischlgroin injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 | |
| 4 | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 | |
| 8 | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 | |
| 11 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 | |
| 13 | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 | |
| 15 | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 | |
| 16 | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 | |
| 17 | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 | |
| 18 | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
PEC Zwolle
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?
ADO Den Haag +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.92); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?
We estimate: PEC Zwolle win 42%, draw 26%, ADO Den Haag win 32%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 1 November 2026, kick-off: 11:15, venue: MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle. Referee: Jeroen Manschot.
Who will be missing?
PEC Zwolle: S. Floranus, F. Krastev. ADO Den Haag: D. Barany, L. Reischl. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.64); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 41% (odds 2.45).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 63% (odds 1.50).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.9%), then 2–1 (9.0%) and 1–0 (7.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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