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Eredivisie · Matchweek 11 · 1 November 2026 · 11:15

PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: prediction, tip and odds, 1 November 2026, Eredivisie

1–0
1PEC Zwolle2.31
XDraw3.83
2ADO Den Haag3.05

Best price · Updated 1/11/26, 06:00

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Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

PEC Zwolle v ADO Den Haag: 1 November 2026 · 11:15 at MAC³PARK Stadion (Zwolle), with Jeroen Manschot refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: tip and prediction
Handicap
ADO Den Haag +0.25 (Asian handicap)
1.92
Goals
Both teams to score
1.50
51%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. PEC Zwolle are 14th in the table, on 11 points after 11 matches (3W 2D 6L), and ADO Den Haag are 17th, on 6 points (1W 3D 7L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average PEC Zwolle score 1.1 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.3; for ADO Den Haag the figures are 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. PEC Zwolle: 2W 2D 6L, goals 11–23; ADO Den Haag: 1W 3D 6L, goals 13–23.
  4. Head to head. From 20 meetings: 11 wins for PEC Zwolle, 7 wins for ADO Den Haag and 2 draws, with the goals at 37–27.

What to expect

We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–1 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (10.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 63% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 59% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 20; PEC Zwolle 11 wins, 2 draws, ADO Den Haag 7 wins.
  2. An average of 3.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: PEC Zwolle 11–23, ADO Den Haag 13–23.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 59%.
  5. Out: PEC Zwolle 2, ADO Den Haag 2.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 63%, best price 1.50). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for PEC Zwolle: S. Floranus, F. Krastev. Absent for ADO Den Haag: D. Barany, L. Reischl. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price2.313.833.05
Market average2.243.632.90
Lowest odds2.053.292.78
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1780.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.641.5959.4%
Under 2.5 goals2.452.3340.6%
Over 3.5 goals2.502.4238.8%
BTTS – yes1.501.4962.5%
BTTS – no2.632.4837.5%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 06:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.0%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: PEC Zwolle 1–1 ADO Den Haag, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: PEC Zwolle 14th (11 points), ADO Den Haag 17th (6 points).
  • Form in the competition: PEC Zwolle 2W 2D 6L (11:23), ADO Den Haag 1W 3D 6L (13:23).
  • H2H: 20 matches: PEC Zwolle 11W 2D 7L, goals 37–27.
  • Absences: PEC Zwolle 2, ADO Den Haag 2.

Who will win PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?

PEC Zwolle42%
Draw26%
ADO Den Haag32%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals80.4% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.20
Likely
PEC Zwolle or draw (1X)67.7% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.42
Likely
BTTS – yes62.5% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.50
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.2% · fair odds 1.63 · best 1.59
Likely
Over 2.5 goals59.4% · fair odds 1.68 · best 1.64
Possible
PEC Zwolle to win41.9% · fair odds 2.39 · best 2.31
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals40.6% · fair odds 2.47 · best 2.45
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.8% · fair odds 2.58 · best 2.50
Outsider
BTTS – no37.5% · fair odds 2.67 · best 2.63
Outsider
ADO Den Haag to win32.3% · fair odds 3.10 · best 3.05
Outsider
Draw25.8% · fair odds 3.87 · best 3.83
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.07 · Under 1.68
probability of over 44.8%

Correct score prediction

1 : 110.9%
2 : 19.0%
1 : 07.8%
1 : 27.7%
0 : 16.6%
2 : 06.4%

PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: team news and absences

PEC Zwolle

  • S. Floranusinjury · will miss the match
  • F. KrastevAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match

ADO Den Haag

  • D. Baranythigh injury · will miss the match
  • L. Reischlgroin injury · will miss the match

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Feyenoord117-4-033:1225
2Ajax117-3-130:1324
3PSV Eindhoven117-2-235:1323
4Twente117-2-228:1023
5AZ Alkmaar116-2-320:1320
6Fortuna Sittard115-4-218:1819
7Heerenveen115-3-319:1318
8Groningen114-3-426:2415
9Cambuur114-3-423:2215
10GO Ahead Eagles113-5-323:2714
11Sparta Rotterdam113-3-520:2612
12Utrecht113-3-519:3112
13NEC Nijmegen112-5-417:1911
14PEC Zwolle113-2-612:2311
15Excelsior113-2-616:2811
16Telstar112-3-616:239
17ADO Den Haag111-3-713:246
18Willem II110-2-910:392

Recent matches

PEC Zwolle

1 NovWPEC Zwolle 1–0 ADO Den Haag
24 OctDUtrecht 1–1 PEC Zwolle
18 OctWPEC Zwolle 4–1 GO Ahead Eagles
11 OctLPEC Zwolle 0–1 Cambuur
18 SeptLGroningen 3–0 PEC Zwolle

ADO Den Haag

1 NovLPEC Zwolle 1–0 ADO Den Haag
24 OctLADO Den Haag 2–3 Heerenveen
17 OctWADO Den Haag 2–1 PSV Eindhoven
11 OctDTelstar 2–2 ADO Den Haag
19 SeptDADO Den Haag 1–1 Cambuur

Home and away

PEC Zwolle at home6 matches: 2W 0D 4L, goals 6–14
ADO Den Haag away6 matches: 0W 2D 4L, goals 5–12

Team comparison

PEC ZwolleADO Den Haag
44%Form56%
42%Attack58%
41%Defence59%
29%Head to head71%
40%Goals60%
40.5%Overall59.5%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

PEC ZwolleWDWLL
ADO Den HaagLLWDD

Head to head

All matches
11PEC Zwolle
2Draws
7ADO Den Haag
1/11/26 · PEC Zwolle 1–0 ADO Den Haag
17/2/23 · ADO Den Haag 3–1 PEC Zwolle
16/9/22 · PEC Zwolle 1–2 ADO Den Haag
9/5/21 · PEC Zwolle 0–1 ADO Den Haag
23/12/20 · ADO Den Haag 0–2 PEC Zwolle
20/10/19 · PEC Zwolle 3–1 ADO Den Haag

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.0%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?

ADO Den Haag +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.92); Both teams to score (1.50).

Who will win PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?

We estimate: PEC Zwolle win 42%, draw 26%, ADO Den Haag win 32%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 1 November 2026, kick-off: 11:15, venue: MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle. Referee: Jeroen Manschot.

Who will be missing?

PEC Zwolle: S. Floranus, F. Krastev. ADO Den Haag: D. Barany, L. Reischl. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.64); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 41% (odds 2.45).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 63% (odds 1.50).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.9%), then 2–1 (9.0%) and 1–0 (7.8%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle 6 NovFortuna Sittard vs Telstar 7 NovADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam 7 NovExcelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles 7 NovHeerenveen vs Feyenoord 8 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.