Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–6. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Willem II against Cambuur on 24 October 2026 · 17:45 at Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg), and Dennis Higler will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Willem II vs Cambuur: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Willem II are 18th in the table, on 2 points after 11 matches (0W 2D 9L), and Cambuur are 9th, on 15 points (4W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average Willem II score 1.0 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.9; for Cambuur the figures are 1.4 scored and 2.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Willem II: 0W 2D 7L, goals 9–26; Cambuur: 2W 3D 4L, goals 13–21.
- Head to head. From 11 meetings: 2 wins for Willem II, 4 wins for Cambuur and 5 draws, with the goals at 13–18.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (10.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
What stands out is that the table favours the Cambuur, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.45), and we rate it at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 65% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 61% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 11; Willem II 2 wins, 5 draws, Cambuur 4 wins.
- An average of 2.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Willem II 9–26, Cambuur 13–21.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 61%.
- Out: Willem II 5, Cambuur 4.
Alternative tip: Willem II or draw (1X)
Alternative tip: Willem II or draw (1X) (probability 63%, best price 1.53). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Willem II: A. Culum, T. Didillon Hodl, J. Hoogma, A. Lachkar, W. van der Steen. Absent for Cambuur: J. Amofa, W. Asselman, D. Bouah, D. Visser. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Willem II vs Cambuur: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.55 | 3.80 | 2.71 |
| Market average | 2.50 | 3.69 | 2.58 |
| Lowest odds | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 81.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.59 | 1.53 | 61.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.42 | 38.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.30 | 41.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.45 | 1.44 | 64.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.88 | 2.64 | 35.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 12:03. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Willem II 1–1 Cambuur, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Willem II 18th (2 points), Cambuur 9th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Willem II 0W 2D 7L (9:26), Cambuur 2W 3D 4L (13:21).
- H2H: 11 matches: Willem II 2W 5D 4L, goals 13–18.
- Absences: Willem II 5, Cambuur 4.
Who will win Willem II vs Cambuur?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Willem II vs Cambuur: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Willem II vs Cambuur: team news and absences
Willem II
- A. Culumfoot injury · will miss the match
- T. Didillon Hodlhamstring injury · will miss the match
- J. Hoogmaknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Lachkargroin injury · will miss the match
- W. van der Steennot in the squad · will miss the match
Cambuur
- J. Amofainjury · will miss the match
- W. Asselmaninjury · will miss the match
- D. Bouahred card · will miss the match
- D. Visserknee injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
Willem II
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Willem IILLLLLCambuurWWDWDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Willem II vs Cambuur?
Cambuur +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.75); Both teams to score (1.45).
Who will win Willem II vs Cambuur?
We estimate: Willem II win 38%, draw 26%, Cambuur win 37%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 17:45, venue: Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg. Referee: Dennis Higler.
Who will be missing?
Willem II: A. Culum, T. Didillon Hodl, J. Hoogma, A. Lachkar, W. van der Steen. Cambuur: J. Amofa, W. Asselman, D. Bouah, D. Visser. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.59); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 39% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 65% (odds 1.45).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.6%), then 2–1 (8.5%) and 1–2 (8.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.