Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Cambuur play AZ Alkmaar at home on 18 October 2026 · 13:30 at Kooi Stadion (Leeuwarden); the referee is Stan Teuben. For us, AZ Alkmaar (65%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Cambuur are 9th in the table, on 15 points after 11 matches (4W 3D 4L), and AZ Alkmaar are 5th, on 20 points (6W 2D 3L).
What to expect
For us, AZ Alkmaar are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–2 (9.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.53), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 62% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 68% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 68%.
- Out: Cambuur 0, AZ Alkmaar 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 62%, best price 1.53). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Cambuur: no absences. Absent for AZ Alkmaar: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 6.50 | 5.15 | 1.49 |
| Market average | 6.14 | 4.83 | 1.45 |
| Lowest odds | 5.50 | 4.60 | 1.44 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.08 | 85.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.37 | 67.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.08 | 2.87 | 32.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.03 | 1.99 | 47.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.49 | 62.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.43 | 38.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 18/10/26, 12:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Cambuur 1–2 AZ Alkmaar, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Cambuur 9th (15 points), AZ Alkmaar 5th (20 points).
- Absences: Cambuur 0, AZ Alkmaar 0.
Who will win Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: team news and absences
Cambuur
- No reported absences
AZ Alkmaar
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?
Cambuur +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.96); Both teams to score (1.53).
Who will win Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?
We estimate: Cambuur win 15%, draw 20%, AZ Alkmaar win 65%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 18 October 2026, kick-off: 13:30, venue: Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden. Referee: Stan Teuben.
Who will be missing?
Cambuur: no absences. AZ Alkmaar: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 68% (odds 1.40); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 32% (odds 3.08).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 62% (odds 1.53).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–2 as most likely (9.6%), then 0–2 (8.8%) and 1–1 (8.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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