Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 7–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
PSV Eindhoven v Willem II: 31 October 2026 · 17:45 at Philips Stadion (Eindhoven), with Danny Makkelie refereeing. We have PSV Eindhoven (89%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. PSV Eindhoven are 3rd in the table, on 23 points after 11 matches (7W 2D 2L), and Willem II are 18th, on 2 points (0W 2D 9L).
- Attack and defence. On average PSV Eindhoven score 2.8 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.3; for Willem II the figures are 1.0 scored and 3.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. PSV Eindhoven: 6W 2D 2L, goals 28–13; Willem II: 0W 2D 8L, goals 10–32.
- Head to head. From 24 meetings: 17 wins for PSV Eindhoven, 3 wins for Willem II and 4 draws, with the goals at 64–24.
What to expect
For us, PSV Eindhoven are the more likely winners. We estimate a 4–1 score, roughly 5 goals in all, with 3–0 (9.2%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
Odds of 1.09 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: Both teams to score (odds 1.79), which we rate at 53%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 53% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 84% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 24; PSV Eindhoven 17 wins, 4 draws, Willem II 3 wins.
- An average of 3.7 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: PSV Eindhoven 28–13, Willem II 10–32.
- Expected: roughly 5 goals; over 2.5 goals: 84%.
- Out: PSV Eindhoven 6, Willem II 3.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 53%, best price 1.79). With roughly 5 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for PSV Eindhoven: A. Nagalo, A. Plea, J. Schouten, P. Wanner, S. Lammers, R. Pepi. Absent for Willem II: J. Hoogma, A. Lachkar, J. Slory. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.09 | 17.50 | 33.00 |
| Market average | 1.07 | 13.31 | 23.88 |
| Lowest odds | 1.04 | 9.06 | 13.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.04 | 1.03 | 92.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.12 | 83.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 6.50 | 5.72 | 16.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.36 | 68.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.79 | 1.76 | 52.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 1.97 | 47.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 13:04. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.0%.
At a glance
- Likely result: PSV Eindhoven 3–0 Willem II, roughly 5 goals in total.
- Table: PSV Eindhoven 3rd (23 points), Willem II 18th (2 points).
- Form in the competition: PSV Eindhoven 6W 2D 2L (28:13), Willem II 0W 2D 8L (10:32).
- H2H: 24 matches: PSV Eindhoven 17W 4D 3L, goals 64–24.
- Absences: PSV Eindhoven 6, Willem II 3.
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II: team news and absences
PSV Eindhoven
- A. Nagaloinjury · will miss the match
- A. Pleaabsence · will miss the match
- J. Schoutenknee injury · will miss the match
- P. Wannerfoot injury · will miss the match
- S. Lammersabsence · doubtful
- R. Pepiinjury · doubtful
Willem II
- J. Hoogmaknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Lachkargroin injury · will miss the match
- J. Sloryred card · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
PSV Eindhoven
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
PSV EindhovenWDLWLWillem IILLLLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
Both teams to score (1.79); PSV Eindhoven to win (1.09).
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
We estimate: PSV Eindhoven win 89%, draw 7%, Willem II win 4%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 17:45, venue: Philips Stadion, Eindhoven. Referee: Danny Makkelie.
Who will be missing?
PSV Eindhoven: A. Nagalo, A. Plea, J. Schouten, P. Wanner, S. Lammers, R. Pepi. Willem II: J. Hoogma, A. Lachkar, J. Slory. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 84% (odds 1.16); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 16% (odds 6.50).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 53% (odds 1.79).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 3–0 as most likely (9.2%), then 4–0 (8.7%) and 3–1 (7.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.