Primeira Liga predictions: upcoming matches
Tomorrow · Fri 6 Nov
Famalicão
AroucaSat 7 Nov
Nacional
Académico ViseuUnder 2.5 goals1.9132%28%40%
18:00
Alverca
Casa PiaAlverca -0.75 (Asian handicap)2.0054%26%20%
20:30
Sporting CP
MoreirenseSporting CP -2 (Asian handicap)1.8481%12%7%
Sun 8 Nov
Santa Clara
GIL VicenteSanta Clara -0.25 (Asian handicap)1.9242%31%27%
15:30
Estoril
MarítimoEstoril -0.25 (Asian handicap)1.8445%27%28%
18:00
Vitória SC
FC PortoVitória SC +1 (Asian handicap)1.8319%24%57%
20:30
Rio Ave
SC BragaRio Ave +1 (Asian handicap)1.9416%23%61%
20:30
Estrela
BenficaEstrela +2 (Asian handicap)1.729%15%75%
Tips and odds are only a guide. Choose a match to see the full preview.
Primeira Liga: current trends before the next matches
We count streaks using this season's games in this competition, working backwards from the latest result.
Primeira Liga: stats for each season
| 2026/27 * | 2025/26 | 2024/25 | 2023/24 | 2022/23 | 2021/22 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 90 | 308 | 308 | 308 | 308 | 308 |
| Home wins | 40% (36) | 41% (127) | 43% (133) | 44% (134) | 49% (152) | 40% (123) |
| Draws | 21% (19) | 27% (84) | 26% (80) | 24% (75) | 18% (55) | 28% (87) |
| Away wins | 39% (35) | 31% (97) | 31% (95) | 32% (99) | 33% (101) | 32% (98) |
| Both teams scored | 47% (42) | 48% (147) | 49% (150) | 54% (166) | 44% (134) | 53% (162) |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% (49) | 54% (165) | 49% (152) | 56% (171) | 48% (148) | 49% (150) |
| Goals per match | 2.68 | 2.67 | 2.57 | 2.87 | 2.50 | 2.63 |
* Season under way. Only competition matches are counted, without qualifying rounds; percentages are of matches played, and match counts are in brackets.
Primeira Liga: most common scores
| Score | Matches | Share | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 181 | 11% | 9.0 |
| 1–1 | 176 | 11% | 9.3 |
| 0–1 | 149 | 9% | 10.9 |
| 2–1 | 129 | 8% | 12.6 |
| 1–2 | 120 | 7% | 13.6 |
Built on games from the competition's past 6 seasons. A fair price is one divided by a score's share, meaning commoner scores get shorter odds.
Primeira Liga: how we make our predictions
Where do our Primeira Liga (Portugal) predictions come from? We take odds from several bookmakers for each match, remove their margin and average them; that gives us 1, X and 2 probabilities and a clear tip. FC Porto are top of the competition after 10 matches.
- The tip is our pick of the most probable outcome. Where the favourite leads only by a small margin, double chance is what we recommend.
- The coloured 1 – X – 2 bar splits our estimate into three parts: home win (1), draw (X) and away win (2).
- Fair odds are calculated as 1 divided by the probability. Odds from a bookmaker above the fair odds can point to value, but there is no guarantee.
For current standings go to the table, for completed matches the results, for remaining matchweeks the fixture list, for top scorers the scorers ranking and for booked players the cards ranking.
Primeira Liga: frequently asked questions
Primeira Liga: which matches have predictions?
Next match with a prediction: Famalicão – Arouca, Fri 6 Nov · 20:45.
Primeira Liga: how are our tips selected?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities. The tip is published purely as information.
What do the colours on the 1 – X – 2 bar stand for?
The colours split our estimated chances between 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win).
What are fair odds?
Fair odds are calculated as 1 divided by the estimated probability of an outcome. Odds from a bookmaker above that can point to value, but they never guarantee a win.
Primeira Liga: how many goals per match on average?
Across this season the average stands at 2.68 goals a match; 47% of matches have had goals at both ends, and 54% have topped 2.5 goals.
Primeira Liga: which scoreline is the most common?
1–0 is the most common score across the seasons shown, at 11% of matches.
Is a win guaranteed with predictions?
No. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Betting is only for people aged 18 and over; bet responsibly.
Primeira Liga predictions and tips
Here are our Primeira Liga predictions in one place: for each match a tip, the odds and our probabilities for each result, together with current team trends and stats from recent seasons of the competition. Other competitions have their predictions on the Predictions page; for our bookmaker comparison, see the Bookmakers page.
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.