Aberdeen vs Hibernian: prediction, tip and odds, 7 November 2026, Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen vs Hibernian betting prediction

Aberdeen host Hibernian at Pittodrie on 7 November 2026, kick-off 17:45, in Matchweek 13 of the Scottish Premiership. The bookmakers see the home side as slight favourites on the result, but the margin is small: Aberdeen 39%, a draw 27%, Hibernian 34%. The expected goals sit at one for each side, and the most likely exact score is 1-1 at 11.9%, ahead of 1-0 at 8.8% and 2-1 at 8.6%.

Aberdeen's home numbers are less convincing than they look

Aberdeen sit 10th in this competition with 11 points from 11 matches: 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats. They have scored 12 and conceded 14, and the defensive figure is the one that worries us. At Pittodrie the record is 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 5 goals scored and 5 conceded. A home side that cannot pull away from its own ground is not the banker the price might suggest.

Their wider form is worse. Across all competitions, Aberdeen have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last five, with 6 goals for and 7 against. The one win was a 3-1 home success over St Mirren. The defeats came at home to St Johnstone and Falkirk, and away at Dundee United. The 1-1 draw at Hibernian on 19 September 2026 is the only point they have taken from an away game in that run.

Hibernian's away record against a leaky back line

Hibernian are 12th, two places and three points behind Aberdeen, with 8 points from 11 games: 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats. Their 11 goals scored and 17 conceded make the defence the weakest part of their league return. They score 1.0 a match, which is not far from Aberdeen's 1.1, so the difference between the sides is not in attack. It is at the back, where they concede 1.5 a game.

On the road they look far more sensible. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with 6 goals scored and 6 conceded. That balance is the reason we are willing to side with them. Their last five across all competitions tell a different story, though: no wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats, with 4 goals for and 7 against. Those five games included a 1-1 draw at home to Aberdeen, a 1-0 defeat at Dundee United, 1-2 home defeats to Falkirk and Celtic, and a 1-1 draw away at St Mirren. Hibernian have been losing narrowly, and that matters for how we price their handicap.

Meetings and team news

Over the last 51 meetings Aberdeen have won 23, Hibernian 15, with 13 draws. The goal count is 60 to 53 in Aberdeen's favour. The most recent results have been more evenly split. Aberdeen beat Hibernian 2-0 on 11 April 2026 and 1-0 on 26 April 2025. Hibernian won 2-0 on 30 December 2025, 1-2 at Pittodrie on 26 October 2025 and 2-0 on 1 February 2025. The last meeting, on 19 September 2026, ended 1-1.

No absences have been reported for either side, so the team news changes nothing. We would not put much weight on Aberdeen's long-run edge in this fixture. The head-to-head is a history lesson, and the last few meetings do not show one side dominating the other.

Our main tip is Hibernian to avoid defeat

Our main tip is Hibernian +0.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.60 (chance 61%). At +0.5 the bet wins unless Hibernian lose by 1 or more, so a draw or a Hibernian win is what it needs. The market rates it at 61% at the best odds of 1.60. We like it for two reasons: Aberdeen have won only 1 of their last 5, and Hibernian's away record reads 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. How the tip settles on the likeliest scores: 1-1 wins, 0-1 wins and 1-2 wins, while 1-0, 2-1 and 2-0 lose. The 1-0, 2-1 and 2-0 outcomes are the ones that lose, and we accept that risk at this price.

Both teams scoring is our second angle

Our second tip is Both teams to score at odds 1.62 (chance 58%). Both sides have been scoring in their recent games. Both teams scored in 3 of Aberdeen's last 5 matches and in 4 of Hibernian's. Hibernian have failed to score in only 1 of their last 5. The market gives it 58% at the best odds of 1.62. How it settles on the likeliest scores: 1-1 wins, 2-1 wins and 1-2 wins, while 1-0, 0-1 and 2-0 lose. It is the more natural bet if you think Hibernian's attack will keep finding the net, but it is a weaker price than our main angle.

Extra bets we would look at

If you want to add to the card, these are the ones we would consider at the odds given:

• Over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25 (chance 76%). The bookmakers expect at least two goals here, and this is the shortest price we would touch.
• Hibernian +1 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.26 (chance 75%). At +1 the bet wins unless Hibernian lose by 2 or more, and a defeat by exactly 1 returns the stake. It sits well alongside our main tip.
• Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44 (chance 67%). The market expects fewer than four goals, and we would not argue with that.
• Aberdeen +0.75 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.32 (chance 71%). Half the stake goes on Aberdeen +0.5 and half on Aberdeen +1, so a home win, a draw or a one-goal defeat keeps money on the table. We would only use it if you want cover for the home side.

The score we expect at Pittodrie

Our most likely score is 1-1. It is the outcome the bookmakers price highest at 11.9%, and it is one of the two scores, along with 1-2, where our main tip wins while our second tip also wins. Aberdeen's home form does not justify a comfortable margin, and Hibernian's away record gives us enough reason to think the visitors will not be easy to beat by two. We would stay away from anything that needs Aberdeen to win by two.