Bet with Freshbet →It is ST Mirren against Rangers on 7 November 2026 · 20:00 at The SMiSA Stadium (Paisley). Rangers (66%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
ST Mirren vs Rangers betting prediction
We like St Mirren +1.5 at odds 1.75, with a chance of 56 per cent. The handicap asks St Mirren only to avoid losing by two goals or more, and that is a far more realistic ask than a result.
Two sides moving in different directions
Rangers sit second in the Scottish Premiership on 24 points from 11 matches, with 7 wins, 3 draws and a single defeat. They have scored 19 and conceded 9. St Mirren are eighth on 14 points from 12, with 4 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats, and a goal record of 12:20. These are this competition's figures only, so the cup and European results are not part of them.
The gap shows most clearly per match. St Mirren have scored 1.0 and conceded 1.7 in the league, while Rangers have scored 1.7 and conceded 0.8. Away from home Rangers have been very hard to beat, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing none. St Mirren at The SMISA Stadium have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 2, which is the number we keep coming back to.
Form across all competitions
St Mirren's last five matches in all competitions have been poor. They lost 5-0 at Heart Of Midlothian and 3-1 at Aberdeen, beat Dundee 2-1 at home, drew 1-1 with Hibernian at home and lost 1-0 at Motherwell. That gives them 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 4 goals scored and 11 conceded. Their one consolation is that both teams scored in three of those five games.
Rangers arrive in better shape. Their last five across all competitions brought 3 wins and 2 draws with no defeats, including a 1-0 win at Celtic, 3-1 at home to Kilmarnock and 4-0 at home to St Johnstone. They drew 2-2 at Dundee and 2-2 at Heart Of Midlothian. They have scored 12 and conceded 5 in that run.
A one-sided rivalry in Paisley
Rangers have won 29 of the last 38 meetings, St Mirren have won 4 and five have been drawn. Rangers have scored 80 goals to St Mirren's 26. The two most recent meetings both went Rangers' way, 1-0 on 9 September 2026 and 5-1 on 16 August 2026, and Rangers also won 1-0 at the SMISA on 15 March 2026. History is not the reason we are backing St Mirren, but it does explain why we are not backing them to win outright.
No team news to weigh
No absences have been reported for either side, so there is nothing to adjust for in the line-ups.
What the prices say about this game
The bookmakers expect a Rangers win, with the result priced at 66 per cent for Rangers at best odds of 1.44, 19 per cent for a draw and 15 per cent for St Mirren at best odds of 6.89. The bookmaker margin on the result is 7.9 per cent. The expected goals are St Mirren 1 and Rangers 2, about 3 in total, and the most likely exact scores are 0-2, 1-2 and 0-1. On the handicap, St Mirren +1.5 sits at 56 per cent, while Rangers -1.5 is at 44 per cent.
Best bet for ST Mirren vs Rangers: ST Mirren +1.5
This is our main tip. At +1.5 the bet wins unless St Mirren lose by 2 or more, so a one-goal defeat, a draw or a win all keep the stake alive. It wins on 0-1, 1-1 and 1-2, and loses on 0-2, 0-3 and 1-3.
Our case rests on St Mirren's home record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in this competition, and on the market giving them a 56 per cent chance at best odds of 1.75. We would not touch a straight St Mirren win at 6.89, because the prices are right that Rangers should prevail. What we want is the margin, and a team that can lose by a goal and still collect is a far more sensible bet here.
Another tip: Over 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals at 1.57 is our second tip, with a chance of 61 per cent. It wins on 1-2, 0-3 and 1-3, and loses on 0-2, 0-1 and 1-1.
St Mirren have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches in all competitions, and Rangers in 4 of their last 5. The expected total of about 3 goals sits right on the line, which is why the price matters. At best odds of 1.57 we would take over 2.5 rather than the under at 2.53.
Where the extra value sits
We like the St Mirren +2 handicap at 1.42, which wins unless St Mirren lose by three or more and returns the stake on a two-goal defeat. Under 3.5 goals at 1.60 is the other one we would look at, given the market's 60 per cent chance on it.
Why St Mirren should keep it close enough
Rangers should win this, and the prices have them as clear favourites for sound reasons. What we do not believe is that St Mirren will be blown away, and the handicap is built for exactly that. We would stay away from the straight win and the bigger Rangers lines, and our two selections are St Mirren +1.5 at 1.75 and over 2.5 goals at 1.57.
ST Mirren vs Rangers: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 7.06 | 5.00 | 1.45 |
| Market average | 6.35 | 4.74 | 1.41 |
| Lowest odds | 5.25 | 4.22 | 1.36 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.53 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.40 | 38.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.34 | 40.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.70 | 54.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.06 | 45.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 03:38. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: ST Mirren 0–2 Rangers, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: ST Mirren 8th (14 points), Rangers 2nd (24 points).
- Form in the competition: ST Mirren 4W 2D 6L (12:20), Rangers 7W 3D 1L (19:9).
- H2H: 38 matches: ST Mirren 4W 5D 29L, goals 26–80.
- Absences: ST Mirren 0, Rangers 0.
Who will win ST Mirren vs Rangers?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
ST Mirren vs Rangers: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
ST Mirren vs Rangers: team news and absences
ST Mirren
- No reported absences
Rangers
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 | Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
ST Mirren
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
ST MirrenLDWLLRangersDWDWWHead to head
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for ST Mirren vs Rangers?
ST Mirren +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.72); Over 2.5 goals (1.57).
Who will win ST Mirren vs Rangers?
We estimate: ST Mirren win 15%, draw 20%, Rangers win 66%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 7 November 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: The SMiSA Stadium, Paisley.
Who will be missing?
ST Mirren: no absences. Rangers: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.57); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 39% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 55% (odds 1.75).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 0–2 as most likely (10.4%), then 1–2 (9.9%) and 0–1 (9.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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