Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Aberdeen against Falkirk on 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at Pittodrie Stadium (Aberdeen). Aberdeen (48%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Aberdeen vs Falkirk: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Aberdeen are 10th in the table, on 11 points after 11 matches (3W 2D 6L), and Falkirk are 4th, on 18 points (5W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average Aberdeen score 1.2 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.3; for Falkirk the figures are 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Aberdeen: 3W 2D 5L, goals 12–13; Falkirk: 3W 3D 4L, goals 12–12.
- Head to head. From 4 meetings: 0 wins for Aberdeen, 3 wins for Falkirk and 1 draw, with the goals at 1–4.
What to expect
For us, Aberdeen are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.8%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
What stands out is that the table favours the Falkirk, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and we rate it at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 55% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 51% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 4; Aberdeen 0 wins, 1 draw, Falkirk 3 wins.
- An average of 1.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Aberdeen 12–13, Falkirk 12–12.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 51%.
- Out: Aberdeen 0, Falkirk 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 55%, best price 1.70). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Aberdeen: no absences. Absent for Falkirk: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Aberdeen vs Falkirk: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.01 | 3.56 | 3.90 |
| Market average | 1.97 | 3.47 | 3.79 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.68 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.25 | 75.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.87 | 50.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.01 | 1.94 | 49.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.10 | 30.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.69 | 54.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.04 | 45.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.0%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Aberdeen 1–1 Falkirk, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Aberdeen 10th (11 points), Falkirk 4th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Aberdeen 3W 2D 5L (12:13), Falkirk 3W 3D 4L (12:12).
- H2H: 4 matches: Aberdeen 0W 1D 3L, goals 1–4.
- Absences: Aberdeen 0, Falkirk 0.
Who will win Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Aberdeen vs Falkirk: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Aberdeen vs Falkirk: team news and absences
Aberdeen
- No reported absences
Falkirk
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 | Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Aberdeen
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
AberdeenLLWLDFalkirkWWWWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
Falkirk +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.66); Both teams to score (1.70).
Who will win Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
We estimate: Aberdeen win 48%, draw 27%, Falkirk win 25%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 28 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen.
Who will be missing?
Aberdeen: no absences. Falkirk: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.91); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 49% (odds 2.01).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 55% (odds 1.70).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.8%), then 1–0 (10.8%) and 2–1 (9.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.