Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
ST Mirren play Hibernian at home on 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at The SMiSA Stadium (Paisley). For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
ST Mirren vs Hibernian: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. ST Mirren are 8th in the table, on 14 points after 12 matches (4W 2D 6L), and Hibernian are 12th, on 8 points (2W 2D 7L).
- Attack and defence. On average ST Mirren score 1.1 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.8; for Hibernian the figures are 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. ST Mirren: 4W 1D 5L, goals 11–18; Hibernian: 2W 1D 7L, goals 10–16.
- Head to head. From 53 meetings: 12 wins for ST Mirren, 25 wins for Hibernian and 16 draws, with the goals at 57–80.
What to expect
For us, Hibernian are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (12.1%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
What stands out is that the table favours the ST Mirren, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the away side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and we rate it at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 55% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 52% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 53; ST Mirren 12 wins, 16 draws, Hibernian 25 wins.
- An average of 2.6 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: ST Mirren 11–18, Hibernian 10–16.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 52%.
- Out: ST Mirren 0, Hibernian 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 55%, best price 1.70). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for ST Mirren: no absences. Absent for Hibernian: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
ST Mirren vs Hibernian: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.30 | 3.53 | 2.26 |
| Market average | 3.22 | 3.39 | 2.21 |
| Lowest odds | 3.12 | 3.25 | 2.17 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.25 | 75.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.89 | 1.83 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.98 | 48.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.16 | 3.01 | 31.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.67 | 55.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.08 | 44.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: ST Mirren 1–1 Hibernian, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: ST Mirren 8th (14 points), Hibernian 12th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: ST Mirren 4W 1D 5L (11:18), Hibernian 2W 1D 7L (10:16).
- H2H: 53 matches: ST Mirren 12W 16D 25L, goals 57–80.
- Absences: ST Mirren 0, Hibernian 0.
Who will win ST Mirren vs Hibernian?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
ST Mirren vs Hibernian: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
ST Mirren vs Hibernian: team news and absences
ST Mirren
- No reported absences
Hibernian
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
ST Mirren
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
ST MirrenLDWLLHibernianDLLLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for ST Mirren vs Hibernian?
Hibernian -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.96); Both teams to score (1.70).
Who will win ST Mirren vs Hibernian?
We estimate: ST Mirren win 29%, draw 28%, Hibernian win 43%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 28 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: The SMiSA Stadium, Paisley.
Who will be missing?
ST Mirren: no absences. Hibernian: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.89); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 48% (odds 2.00).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 55% (odds 1.70).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.1%), then 0–1 (10.1%) and 1–2 (9.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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