ST Johnstone vs Dundee: prediction, tip and odds, 7 November 2026, Scottish Premiership

ST Johnstone vs Dundee betting prediction

Can a side that has won three of its last five games hold a home team that has won only one? That is the question St Johnstone and Dundee bring to McDiarmid Park in Perth on 7 November 2026, kick-off 15:00, in Matchweek 13 of the Scottish Premiership. The venue holds 10,673, and the bookmakers make the home side the most likely winner on the result, but only just.

Table position against recent form

In this competition Dundee sit fifth with 17 points from 11 games, five wins, two draws and four defeats. St Johnstone are seventh on 14 points from 12, with three wins, five draws and four defeats. Those are the only season figures we are using for the table. The last five matches are across all competitions, so a team can sit well in its league and still lose a cup tie or a European game, and the two sets of numbers do not always point the same way.

On the form in all competitions, Dundee look the better side right now. They have won 3 of their last 5 and lost only 1, with a 2-1 defeat at St Mirren the one blemish. St Johnstone have won only 1 of their last 5, with 3 draws and 1 defeat, and they have scored 6 and conceded 9 in those games. We would not call that momentum. It reads like a side that keeps getting to level scores without pushing on.

Home and away splits that matter

St Johnstone at home are 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat in this competition, a record that is steady rather than convincing. Dundee away are 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, with 6 goals scored and 6 conceded. Those away numbers are the reason we do not simply back Dundee to win. They have won on the road, but they have also lost three times away from home, and that is a risk we can see in the figures.

Goals, chances and the scorelines the market expects

St Johnstone score 1.3 and concede 1.6 per match in this competition. Dundee score 1.5 and concede 1.2. Both teams scored in 3 of St Johnstone's last five matches, and both teams scored in 5 of Dundee's last five. The bookmakers expect about three goals in total, with St Johnstone around 2 and Dundee around 1.

The market leans under 3.5 goals at 66% at best odds 1.45, and over 3.5 sits at 34%. Over 1.5 goals is at 77%. The most likely exact scores are 1-1 at 11.7%, 2-1 at 8.8% and 1-0 at 8.7%. Those are market chances, a view of what the bookmakers expect for this game, and they should not be read as a share of past matches.

A rivalry with an even split of wins

Over the last 35 meetings St Johnstone have won 15, drawn 8, and Dundee have won 12. The goals stand at 46:38 in St Johnstone's favour. Those are the figures that stand out: the sides have split their wins almost evenly, and eight of the 35 have ended level.

The most recent meeting, Dundee 1-1 St Johnstone on 2/9/26, was a draw. Before that came St Johnstone 0-2 Dundee on 18/5/25, Dundee 1-1 St Johnstone on 1/3/25, St Johnstone 1-3 Dundee on 5/1/25, Dundee 1-2 St Johnstone on 26/10/24 and St Johnstone 1-2 Dundee on 30/3/24. A 1-1 on the last visit fits the market's favourite scoreline, and that is why we give the head-to-head some weight here.

Team news: nothing to adjust

No absences are reported for either club. There is no injury or suspension to weigh, so the decision rests on form, the table and the prices, which suits us fine.

Our tip: draw or Dundee at 1.67

Our main tip is Draw or Dundee (X2) at odds 1.67, chance 59%. We like it because Dundee have won 3 of their last 5 and lost only 1 of them, while St Johnstone have won only 1 of their last 5. Dundee are fifth on 17 points and St Johnstone seventh on 14, and the market gives this bet 59% at best odds 1.67. The bet wins on 1-1, 1-2 and 0-1, and loses on 2-1, 1-0 and 2-0. It covers the most likely draw, and it keeps Dundee's away wins in play without needing them.

Our second tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.45, chance 66%. The only argument we have for it is the price itself: the market gives it 66% at best odds 1.45. It wins on every one of the six scorelines we were given, 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-1 and 2-0. We would stake it lower than the first tip, because the odds are short and one extra goal ends it.

Other bets we would consider

If you want something beside the tips, these are the ones we would look at, all at the odds quoted:

• Dundee +1 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.33, chance 73%. It wins unless Dundee lose by 2 or more, and a defeat by exactly 1 returns the stake. It sits comfortably with the main tip.
• Over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, chance 77%. The cheapest route to at least two goals, though the price is thin.
• Under 10.5 corners at odds 1.82, chance 52%. Close to a coin flip, so we would only back it as a small add-on.

The match result carries a bookmaker margin of 7.8%, so none of these prices is generous. We would keep the stakes modest.

Where we land

We would back the draw-or-Dundee angle at 1.67 and stop there. Dundee have the better recent results and the higher place in the table, and the head-to-head has ended level eight times in 35. The under 3.5 stays as the secondary bet. Take the prices on offer rather than chasing a bigger number.