Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
ADO Den Haag play Heerenveen at home on 24 October 2026 · 20:00 at Bingoal Stadion (The Hague); the referee is Jannick van der Laan. For us, Heerenveen (48%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. ADO Den Haag are 17th in the table, on 6 points after 11 matches (1W 3D 7L), and Heerenveen are 7th, on 18 points (5W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. On average ADO Den Haag score 1.2 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.2; for Heerenveen the figures are 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. ADO Den Haag: 1W 3D 5L, goals 11–20; Heerenveen: 3W 3D 3L, goals 15–11.
- Head to head. From 23 meetings: 4 wins for ADO Den Haag, 10 wins for Heerenveen and 9 draws, with the goals at 24–36.
What to expect
For us, Heerenveen are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (9.7%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 66% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 65% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 23; ADO Den Haag 4 wins, 9 draws, Heerenveen 10 wins.
- An average of 2.6 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: ADO Den Haag 11–20, Heerenveen 15–11.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 65%.
- Out: ADO Den Haag 2, Heerenveen 1.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 55%, best price 1.75). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for ADO Den Haag: L. Reischl, D. Barany. Absent for Heerenveen: D. Proper. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.53 | 4.00 | 2.03 |
| Market average | 3.39 | 3.86 | 1.99 |
| Lowest odds | 3.25 | 3.60 | 1.95 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.44 | 65.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.68 | 35.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.11 | 44.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.41 | 65.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.88 | 2.72 | 34.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: ADO Den Haag 1–1 Heerenveen, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: ADO Den Haag 17th (6 points), Heerenveen 7th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: ADO Den Haag 1W 3D 5L (11:20), Heerenveen 3W 3D 3L (15:11).
- H2H: 23 matches: ADO Den Haag 4W 9D 10L, goals 24–36.
- Absences: ADO Den Haag 2, Heerenveen 1.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: team news and absences
ADO Den Haag
- L. Reischlgroin injury · will miss the match
- D. Baranythigh injury · doubtful
Heerenveen
- D. Properhamstring injury · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
ADO Den Haag
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
ADO Den HaagLLWDDHeerenveenWWWLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?
Over 2.5 goals (1.50); Heerenveen to win (2.03).
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?
We estimate: ADO Den Haag win 28%, draw 25%, Heerenveen win 48%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Bingoal Stadion, The Hague. Referee: Jannick van der Laan.
Who will be missing?
ADO Den Haag: L. Reischl, D. Barany. Heerenveen: D. Proper. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 65% (odds 1.50); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 35% (odds 2.75).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 66% (odds 1.44).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (9.7%), then 1–2 (9.2%) and 2–1 (7.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.