Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
ADO Den Haag play PSV Eindhoven at home on 17 October 2026 · 15:30 at Bingoal Stadion (The Hague); the referee is Martin Van den Kerkhof, Netherlands. For us, PSV Eindhoven (74%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. ADO Den Haag are 17th in the table, on 6 points after 11 matches (1W 3D 7L), and PSV Eindhoven are 3rd, on 23 points (7W 2D 2L).
What to expect
For us, PSV Eindhoven are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–3 score, roughly 4 goals in all, with 1–2 (8.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
Odds of 1.28 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: Both teams to score (odds 1.57), which we rate at 61%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 61% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 74% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 74%.
- Out: ADO Den Haag 0, PSV Eindhoven 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 61%, best price 1.57). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for ADO Den Haag: no absences. Absent for PSV Eindhoven: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 10.00 | 6.76 | 1.28 |
| Market average | 8.78 | 6.35 | 1.26 |
| Lowest odds | 8.00 | 5.80 | 1.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.07 | 1.05 | 89.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.25 | 74.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.79 | 3.57 | 26.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.71 | 54.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.35 | 39.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 17/10/26, 13:34. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: ADO Den Haag 1–2 PSV Eindhoven, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: ADO Den Haag 17th (6 points), PSV Eindhoven 3rd (23 points).
- Absences: ADO Den Haag 0, PSV Eindhoven 0.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: team news and absences
ADO Den Haag
- No reported absences
PSV Eindhoven
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
PSV Eindhoven -1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.79); Both teams to score (1.57).
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
We estimate: ADO Den Haag win 11%, draw 15%, PSV Eindhoven win 74%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 17 October 2026, kick-off: 15:30, venue: Bingoal Stadion, The Hague. Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof, Netherlands.
Who will be missing?
ADO Den Haag: no absences. PSV Eindhoven: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 74% (odds 1.28); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 26% (odds 3.79).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 61% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–2 as most likely (8.6%), then 0–2 (8.2%) and 1–3 (8.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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