Bet with Freshbet →AIK Stockholm v BK Häcken: 8 November 2026 · 15:30 at Strawberry Arena (Solna). We have BK Häcken (53%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
AIK Stockholm vs BK Häcken betting prediction
AIK Stockholm host BK Häcken at Strawberry Arena in Solna on 8 November 2026, kick-off 15:30, in Allsvenskan matchweek 28. Hacken arrive fourth with 49 points, while AIK sit eighth on 38. The bookmakers have made the visitors clear favourites, and we agree with them, though we would rather not pay the full price for it.
How do the two sides arrive in Solna?
In this competition, AIK have won 10, drawn 8 and lost 9, with 43 goals scored and 47 conceded. At home they have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 6, scoring 21 and conceding 29. Hacken have won 13, drawn 10 and lost 4, with 48 scored and 30 conceded, and away they have won 6, drawn 5 and lost 2. The gap in quality shows up in the averages too: Hacken score 1.8 per match and concede 1.1, while AIK score 1.6 and concede 1.7.
The last five matches in all competitions tell the same story, though they are a different sample. AIK have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2, scoring 12 and conceding 13. Hacken have won 4 and drawn 1, without a defeat, scoring 9 and conceding none in all five. We think Hacken are the side in form, and the table backs that up, even if the table only covers this competition.
Will the goals come on Sunday?
We expect goals here, and the numbers agree. The bookmakers see AIK scoring about 1 and Hacken about 2, roughly 3 in total. Over 2.5 goals is priced at a 63% chance, and over 1.5 at 82%. The most likely exact scores are 1-1 at 9.9%, 1-2 at 9.7% and 0-1 at 7.9%.
AIK's recent matches have been full of goals: each of their last five in all competitions had more than 2.5 goals in it, and both teams scored in all five. Hacken's recent games have been far tighter at the back, with clean sheets in all five. That is why we see the goals coming more from Hacken's attack than from a free-for-all.
What do the last 22 meetings tell us?
The head-to-head is close to even over a long run. In the last 22 meetings AIK have won 8, drawn 5 and Hacken have won 9, with 35 goals each. The most recent meeting ended 0-0 at Hacken's ground, and the sides have also drawn 2-2 and 3-3 in the results we are shown. AIK beat Hacken 4-0 in the most recent home meeting, which shows they can hurt them when the chances come, but the overall picture leans slightly towards the visitors.
Is anyone missing for either side?
No absences have been reported for either AIK Stockholm or BK Häcken. Both teams should be close to full strength, so the match will come down to the form and the numbers we have already looked at, not to a broken line-up.
Which bet do we back, and why?
Our main tip is BK Häcken -0.25 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.58 (chance 61%). The stake is split in half: one half goes on BK Häcken -0.5, the other half on BK Häcken +0. At -0.5, Hacken must win by 1 or more. At +0, a Hacken win wins, a draw returns the stake, and a defeat loses.
We like this for several reasons. Hacken have won 4 of their last 5 and have lost none of them, while AIK have won only 1 of theirs. Hacken sit fourth with 49 points and AIK eighth with 38, though those figures are of this competition only, and the last five come from all competitions. Hacken's away record of 6 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats is strong, and in the last 22 meetings they have won 9 to AIK's 8. The market gives the stake a 61% chance at best odds of 1.58, and we think that is fair.
On the likeliest scores, the tip settles as follows: 1-1 returns half the stake, 1-2, 0-1, 0-2 and 1-3 win, and 2-1 loses.
Our second tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds 1.50 (chance 63%). The expected total is about 3 goals, and AIK's last five matches all had more than 2.5 goals. The market gives it a 63% chance at best odds of 1.50. On the likeliest scores, it loses on 1-1, 0-1 and 0-2, and wins on 1-2, 1-3 and 2-1.
Other bets we would consider
- Draw or BK Häcken (X2) at odds 1.27 (chance 76%). It is the safest price on the board, and the one we would pick if the handicap feels too tight for your taste.
- BK Häcken +0.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.27 (chance 75%). At +0.5 the bet wins unless BK Häcken lose by 1 or more. It is the same view as our main tip with a much shorter price.
- Both teams to score at odds 1.50 (chance 63%). AIK have scored in all of their last five, but Hacken have not scored in one of their last five, so we like it less than the others.
A last word before kick-off
We back Hacken to win, and we would rather take the handicap than the straight result. The goals should come, but on balance we see Hacken scoring more of them. Enjoy the game, and bet only what you can afford to lose.
AIK Stockholm vs BK Häcken: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 4.14 | 4.14 | 1.80 |
| Market average | 3.91 | 3.94 | 1.75 |
| Lowest odds | 3.52 | 3.59 | 1.71 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.13 | 82.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.47 | 63.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.61 | 2.50 | 37.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.18 | 43.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.48 | 62.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.46 | 37.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 02:07. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.2%.
At a glance
- Likely result: AIK Stockholm 1–1 BK Häcken, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: AIK Stockholm 8th (38 points), BK Häcken 4th (49 points).
- Form in the competition: AIK Stockholm 10W 8D 9L (43:47), BK Häcken 13W 10D 4L (48:30).
- H2H: 22 matches: AIK Stockholm 8W 5D 9L, goals 35–35.
- Absences: AIK Stockholm 0, BK Häcken 0.
Who will win AIK Stockholm vs BK Häcken?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
AIK Stockholm vs BK Häcken: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
AIK Stockholm vs BK Häcken: team news and absences
AIK Stockholm
- No reported absences
BK Häcken
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sirius | 27 | 18-4-5 | 58:34 | 58 |
| 2 |  Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 | BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 |  Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 | AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 27 | 4-5-18 | 18:51 | 17 |
Recent matches
AIK Stockholm
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
AIK StockholmLDWDLBK HäckenWDWWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for AIK Stockholm vs BK Häcken?
BK Häcken -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.55); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win AIK Stockholm vs BK Häcken?
We estimate: AIK Stockholm win 24%, draw 23%, BK Häcken win 53%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 8 November 2026, kick-off: 15:30, venue: Strawberry Arena, Solna.
Who will be missing?
AIK Stockholm: no absences. BK Häcken: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 63% (odds 1.50); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 37% (odds 2.61).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 62% (odds 1.53).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (9.9%), then 1–2 (9.7%) and 0–1 (7.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.