Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is AIK Stockholm against IF Elfsborg on 27 October 2026 · 18:00 at Strawberry Arena (Solna), and Sars Joakim will referee. IF Elfsborg (47%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. AIK Stockholm are 8th in the table, on 38 points after 27 matches (10W 8D 9L), and IF Elfsborg are 5th, on 46 points (12W 10D 5L).
- Attack and defence. On average AIK Stockholm score 1.6 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.7; for IF Elfsborg the figures are 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. AIK Stockholm: 10W 7D 8L, goals 40–43; IF Elfsborg: 11W 9D 5L, goals 37–24.
- Head to head. From 23 meetings: 10 wins for AIK Stockholm, 6 wins for IF Elfsborg and 7 draws, with the goals at 40–34.
What to expect
For us, IF Elfsborg are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.53), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 62% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 60% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 23; AIK Stockholm 10 wins, 7 draws, IF Elfsborg 6 wins.
- An average of 3.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: AIK Stockholm 40–43, IF Elfsborg 37–24.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 60%.
- Out: AIK Stockholm 6, IF Elfsborg 2.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 62%, best price 1.53). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for AIK Stockholm: D. Besirovic, I. Cisse, K. Filling, A. Helm, S. Papagiannopoulos, A. Redkin. Absent for IF Elfsborg: V. Elfstrom, L. Hagg. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.57 | 3.90 | 2.16 |
| Market average | 3.37 | 3.71 | 1.97 |
| Lowest odds | 2.96 | 3.29 | 1.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 80.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.63 | 1.56 | 60.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.35 | 39.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.34 | 39.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.49 | 62.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.44 | 38.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 16:02. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.5%.
At a glance
- Likely result: AIK Stockholm 1–1 IF Elfsborg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: AIK Stockholm 8th (38 points), IF Elfsborg 5th (46 points).
- Form in the competition: AIK Stockholm 10W 7D 8L (40:43), IF Elfsborg 11W 9D 5L (37:24).
- H2H: 23 matches: AIK Stockholm 10W 7D 6L, goals 40–34.
- Absences: AIK Stockholm 6, IF Elfsborg 2.
Who will win AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: team news and absences
AIK Stockholm
- D. Besirovicthigh injury · will miss the match
- I. Cisseankle injury · will miss the match
- K. Fillingknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Helmknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Papagiannopoulosknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Redkinknee injury · will miss the match
IF Elfsborg
- V. Elfstromnot in the squad · will miss the match
- L. Haggnot in the squad · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sirius | 27 | 18-4-5 | 58:34 | 58 |
| 2 |  Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 | IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 |  Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 | AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 27 | 4-5-18 | 18:51 | 17 |
Recent matches
AIK Stockholm
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
AIK StockholmLDWDLIF ElfsborgWDDDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg?
AIK Stockholm or draw (1X) (1.87); Both teams to score (1.53).
Who will win AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg?
We estimate: AIK Stockholm win 28%, draw 25%, IF Elfsborg win 47%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 18:00, venue: Strawberry Arena, Solna. Referee: Sars Joakim.
Who will be missing?
AIK Stockholm: D. Besirovic, I. Cisse, K. Filling, A. Helm, S. Papagiannopoulos, A. Redkin. IF Elfsborg: V. Elfstrom, L. Hagg. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.63); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 40% (odds 2.46).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 62% (odds 1.53).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.8%), then 1–2 (9.4%) and 0–1 (8.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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