Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sirius play AIK Stockholm at home on 24 October 2026 · 14:00 at Studenternas IP (Uppsala); the referee is Adam Ladebäck. For us, Sirius (60%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Sirius vs AIK Stockholm: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Sirius are 1st in the table, on 58 points after 27 matches (18W 4D 5L), and AIK Stockholm are 8th, on 38 points (10W 8D 9L).
- Attack and defence. On average Sirius score 2.3 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.3; for AIK Stockholm the figures are 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sirius: 17W 4D 3L, goals 55–30; AIK Stockholm: 9W 7D 8L, goals 38–42.
- Head to head. From 24 meetings: 4 wins for Sirius, 13 wins for AIK Stockholm and 7 draws, with the goals at 27–37.
What to expect
For us, Sirius are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 60% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 64% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 24; Sirius 4 wins, 7 draws, AIK Stockholm 13 wins.
- An average of 2.7 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Sirius 55–30, AIK Stockholm 38–42.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 64%.
- Out: Sirius 0, AIK Stockholm 6.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 60%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Sirius: no absences. Absent for AIK Stockholm: D. Besirovic, I. Cisse, K. Filling, A. Helm, S. Papagiannopoulos, A. Redkin. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Sirius vs AIK Stockholm: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.59 | 4.69 | 5.19 |
| Market average | 1.54 | 4.47 | 5.01 |
| Lowest odds | 1.50 | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.12 | 82.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.56 | 36.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.21 | 2.16 | 43.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.33 | 39.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 12:03. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.2%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Sirius 2–1 AIK Stockholm, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sirius 1st (58 points), AIK Stockholm 8th (38 points).
- Form in the competition: Sirius 17W 4D 3L (55:30), AIK Stockholm 9W 7D 8L (38:42).
- H2H: 24 matches: Sirius 4W 7D 13L, goals 27–37.
- Absences: Sirius 0, AIK Stockholm 6.
Who will win Sirius vs AIK Stockholm?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Sirius vs AIK Stockholm: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Sirius vs AIK Stockholm: team news and absences
Sirius
- No reported absences
AIK Stockholm
- D. Besirovicthigh injury · will miss the match
- I. Cisseankle injury · will miss the match
- K. Fillingknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Helmknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Papagiannopoulosknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Redkinknee injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 27 | 18-4-5 | 58:34 | 58 |
| 2 |  Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 |  Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 | AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 27 | 4-5-18 | 18:51 | 17 |
Recent matches
Sirius
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
SiriusWLLDWAIK StockholmLDWDLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Sirius vs AIK Stockholm?
AIK Stockholm +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.75); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Sirius vs AIK Stockholm?
We estimate: Sirius win 60%, draw 21%, AIK Stockholm win 19%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: Studenternas IP, Uppsala. Referee: Adam Ladebäck.
Who will be missing?
Sirius: no absences. AIK Stockholm: D. Besirovic, I. Cisse, K. Filling, A. Helm, S. Papagiannopoulos, A. Redkin. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 64% (odds 1.50); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 36% (odds 2.67).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.8%), then 1–1 (9.1%) and 2–0 (8.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.