Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sirius play IF Elfsborg at home on 18 October 2026 · 13:00 at Studenternas IP (Uppsala); the referee is Adi Aganovic, Sweden. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Sirius are 1st in the table, on 58 points after 27 matches (18W 4D 5L), and IF Elfsborg are 5th, on 46 points (12W 10D 5L).
- Head to head. From 21 meetings: 9 wins for Sirius, 8 wins for IF Elfsborg and 4 draws, with the goals at 41–36.
What to expect
For us, Sirius are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.62), and we rate it at 58%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 58% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 55% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 21; Sirius 9 wins, 4 draws, IF Elfsborg 8 wins.
- An average of 3.7 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 55%.
- Out: Sirius 0, IF Elfsborg 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 58%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Sirius: no absences. Absent for IF Elfsborg: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.21 | 3.59 | 3.20 |
| Market average | 2.15 | 3.46 | 3.12 |
| Lowest odds | 2.12 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.20 | 77.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.12 | 2.07 | 45.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.82 | 2.69 | 34.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.23 | 41.7% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 18/10/26, 08:05. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Sirius 1–1 IF Elfsborg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sirius 1st (58 points), IF Elfsborg 5th (46 points).
- H2H: 21 matches: Sirius 9W 4D 8L, goals 41–36.
- Absences: Sirius 0, IF Elfsborg 0.
Who will win Sirius vs IF Elfsborg?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: team news and absences
Sirius
- No reported absences
IF Elfsborg
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 27 | 18-4-5 | 58:34 | 58 |
| 2 |  Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 | IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 |  Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 27 | 4-5-18 | 18:51 | 17 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Sirius vs IF Elfsborg?
Sirius -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Both teams to score (1.62).
Who will win Sirius vs IF Elfsborg?
We estimate: Sirius win 43%, draw 27%, IF Elfsborg win 30%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 18 October 2026, kick-off: 13:00, venue: Studenternas IP, Uppsala. Referee: Adi Aganovic, Sweden.
Who will be missing?
Sirius: no absences. IF Elfsborg: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.75); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 45% (odds 2.12).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.62).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.8%), then 1–0 (9.4%) and 2–1 (9.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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