Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Amiens play Thionville Lusitanos at home on 29 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade de la Licorne (Amiens). For us, Amiens (55%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Amiens are 8th in the table, on 17 points after 11 matches (4W 5D 2L), and Thionville Lusitanos are 12th, on 13 points (3W 4D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average Amiens score 1.3 goals a match in the competition and concede 0.4; for Thionville Lusitanos the figures are 1.5 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Amiens: 4W 4D 2L, goals 13–4; Thionville Lusitanos: 3W 3D 4L, goals 15–16.
- Head to head. From 1 meetings: 0 wins for Amiens, 0 wins for Thionville Lusitanos and 1 draw, with the goals at 1–1.
What to expect
For us, Amiens are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–0 (11.8%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.84), and we rate it at 52%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 52% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 52% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 1; Amiens 0 wins, 1 draw, Thionville Lusitanos 0 wins.
- An average of 2.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Amiens 13–4, Thionville Lusitanos 15–16.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 52%.
- Out: Amiens 0, Thionville Lusitanos 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 52%, best price 1.83). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Amiens: no absences. Absent for Thionville Lusitanos: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.72 | 4.13 | 5.00 |
| Market average | 1.64 | 3.65 | 4.64 |
| Lowest odds | 1.58 | 3.26 | 4.02 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.24 | 74.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.84 | 1.80 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.03 | 1.94 | 48.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.92 | 31.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.78 | 51.8% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.91 | 48.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 29/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 10.2%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Amiens 1–0 Thionville Lusitanos, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Amiens 8th (17 points), Thionville Lusitanos 12th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: Amiens 4W 4D 2L (13:4), Thionville Lusitanos 3W 3D 4L (15:16).
- H2H: 1 match: Amiens 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1.
- Absences: Amiens 0, Thionville Lusitanos 0.
Who will win Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos: team news and absences
Amiens
- No reported absences
Thionville Lusitanos
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  La Roche VF | 11 | 7-3-1 | 18:10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Rouen | 11 | 7-2-2 | 20:9 | 23 |
| 3 |  Versailles | 11 | 7-1-3 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Caen | 11 | 6-1-4 | 21:15 | 19 |
| 5 |  Cannes | 11 | 4-6-1 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Le Puy Foot | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 7 |  Concarneau | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 8 | Amiens | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 9 |  Fleury 91 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 10 |  Gobelins | 11 | 4-4-3 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 11 |  Bastia | 11 | 4-3-4 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 12 | Thionville Lusitanos | 11 | 3-4-4 | 16:17 | 13 |
| 13 |  Quevilly | 11 | 3-4-4 | 11:16 | 13 |
| 14 |  Orléans | 11 | 2-4-5 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 15 |  Valenciennes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 11:17 | 9 |
| 16 |  Villefranche | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:24 | 8 |
| 17 |  Aubagne | 11 | 2-1-8 | 6:17 | 7 |
| 18 |  Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 11 | 1-2-8 | 5:18 | 5 |
Recent matches
Amiens
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
AmiensDDWDWThionville LusitanosDLLLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos?
Thionville Lusitanos +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.58); Over 2.5 goals (1.84).
Who will win Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos?
We estimate: Amiens win 55%, draw 25%, Thionville Lusitanos win 20%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 29 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Stade de la Licorne, Amiens.
Who will be missing?
Amiens: no absences. Thionville Lusitanos: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.84); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 48% (odds 2.03).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 52% (odds 1.83).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–0 as most likely (11.8%), then 1–1 (11.2%) and 2–0 (10.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.