Villefranche vs Quevilly: prediction, tip and odds, 7 November 2026, Ligue 3

Villefranche vs Quevilly betting prediction

Quevilly are 13th in Ligue 3 with 13 points from 11 matches, and Villefranche are 16th with 8 from the same number of games. When the two meet at the Stade Armand Chouffet on 7 November 2026 at 13:45, the gap in the table is clear. The table covers this competition only, while the recent results below include every competition, so the two sets of figures do not always tell the same story.

Two sides with different recent records

Villefranche have had a hard run. In all competitions their last five matches brought one win, a 2-1 home success over Cannes on 17 October, one draw at Orléans and three defeats, including a 4-1 loss at Le Puy Foot and a 3-0 reverse at Amiens. Across those five games they have scored 5 and conceded 11. In this competition they have scored 10 and conceded 24 in 11 matches, an average of 0.9 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game, and their home record is two wins, one draw and two defeats.

Quevilly have been more solid without being convincing. Their last five in all competitions include one win, a 3-2 home victory over Orléans, two draws, one of them a 1-1 at home to Amiens, and two defeats, 3-1 at Cannes and 2-0 at Bastia. They have scored 5 and conceded 8 in those games. In Ligue 3 alone they average 1.0 goal scored and 1.5 conceded per match, and they have won three, drawn four and lost four. Their away form is the weak spot: no wins in six trips, with a goal tally of 2:10 on the road.

What the meetings say about this fixture

Villefranche have the better head-to-head record. In the last 12 meetings they have won seven, Quevilly five, and there have been no draws, with the teams scoring 14 and 11 goals respectively. The most recent meeting went Villefranche's way: Quevilly 1-2 Villefranche on 30 January 2026. Before that, Villefranche beat Quevilly 2-1 on 22 August 2025.

We do not read too much into the history, and the table is what matters now. Still, Villefranche have won at Quevilly recently, and that is a reason not to write off the home side's record against this opponent.

Team news and what the bookmakers expect

There are no absentees reported for either side.

The bookmakers rate Villefranche as the most likely winners at 39% (best odds 2.48), with a draw at 28% (best odds 3.42) and Quevilly at 33% (best odds 3.00). That is the opposite of the table, which the note on the market makes plain. The bookmaker margin on the result is 10.0%. The expected goals are 1 for each side, about 2 in total, and the most likely exact scores are 1-1 at 12.8%, 1-0 at 10.7% and 0-1 at 9.9%. Both teams to score sits at 51% (best odds 1.91) against 49% for no (best odds 1.91), which is about as close to an even call as you will find.

On the goals lines, over 2.5 is at 46% (best odds 2.08) and under 2.5 at 55% (best odds 1.75). Over 1.5 goals is at 70% (best odds 1.33), and under 3.5 is at 74% (best odds 1.28). These figures describe what the bookmakers expect and nothing more.

Our main pick: Quevilly on the handicap

Our main tip is Quevilly +0.25 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.70, chance 55%. The stake is split: half on Quevilly +0, half on Quevilly +0.5. At +0 a Quevilly win wins, a draw returns the stake and a defeat loses. At +0.5 the bet wins unless Quevilly lose by 1 or more.

We are backing Quevilly because Villefranche have won only 1 of their last 5 in all competitions, and because Quevilly sit above them in the table, 13th with 13 points against 16th with 8. The market gives this line 55% at best odds of 1.70, which we think is fair value for a side that should not be exposed by a Villefranche team in this form. The handicap is there to protect us if Quevilly only manage a draw, which is why we prefer it to a straight win bet.

How the main tip settles on the likeliest scores (home-away): 1-1 half wins, returning half the stake; 1-0 loses; 0-1 wins; 2-1 loses; 0-0 half wins, returning half the stake; 1-2 wins.

The second tip and the goals question

Our second tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds 1.75, chance 55%. Quevilly have had more than 2.5 goals in only 2 of their last 5 matches in all competitions, and the market gives the under 55% at best odds of 1.75. The expected total of about 2 goals fits that reading, and it is the reason we are willing to back the under even though Villefranche have conceded plenty.

How the second tip settles on the likeliest scores (home-away): 1-1 wins; 1-0 wins; 0-1 wins; 2-1 loses; 0-0 wins; 1-2 loses.

Other bets we like

If you want to add something alongside the tips, we like Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28 (chance 74%). It is a short price, but it sits comfortably with our view that the goals will be limited, and the market rates it well ahead of the 2.5 line. For a bigger price we would consider Quevilly +1 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.35 (chance 75%). At +1 the bet wins unless Quevilly lose by 2 or more, and a defeat by exactly 1 returns the stake. It is a more cautious way to back the same side as our main tip.

We would not add the Villefranche handicap lines to a betting slip next to our tips, because they work against the Quevilly view we have taken.

Where we land

Quevilly have the better table position and the stronger goals record in this competition, while Villefranche have the bookmakers' vote and a home record that is at least respectable. We take the side with the table and the form, and we take the goals line that goes with it. Expect a tight, cagey afternoon around one goal a side, and collect on the handicap if the scoreline lands on 1-1 or 0-0, where the handicap returns half the stake.