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La Liga · Matchweek 10 · 25 October 2026 · 20:00

Barcelona vs Real Madrid: prediction, tip and odds, 25 October 2026, La Liga

1–2
1Barcelona1.70
XDraw6.32
2Real Madrid4.39

Best price · Updated 25/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid: tip and prediction
Our tip
: over 10.5 corners
1.80

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Barcelona vs Real Madrid betting prediction

We will continue with the prediction in English as requested. ## Prediction: Barcelona vs Real Madrid Over 10.

Barcelona's attacking prowess is evident from their recent performances against Real Madrid, securing victories in each of their last nine La Liga matches. Real Madrid's recent form, highlighted by a 2-0 victory against Sevilla in May 2026, demonstrates their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid Over 10.5 corners @ kick-off at 20:00 local time on Sunday, 25 October 2026, at Spotify Camp Nou Barcelona's attacking prowess is evident from their recent performances against Real Madrid, securing victories in each of their last nine La Liga matches. Real Madrid's recent form, highlighted by a 2-0 victory against Sevilla in May 2026, demonstrates their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid Over 10.5 corners @ kick-off at 20:00 local time on Sunday, 25 October 2026, at Spotify Camp Nou

Barcelona's attacking prowess is evident from their recent performances against Real Madrid, securing victories in each of their last nine La Liga matches. Real Madrid's recent form, highlighted by a 2-0 victory against Sevilla in May 2026, demonstrates their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid Over 10.5 corners @ kick-off at 20: kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026, at Spotify Camp Nou

Barcelona's attacking prowess is evident from their recent performances against Real Madrid, securing victories in each of their last nine La Liga matches. Real Madrid's recent form, highlighted by a 2-0 victory against Sevilla in May 2026, demonstrates their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid Over 10.5 corners @ kick-off at 20:00 local time on Sunday, 25 October 2026, at Spotify Camp Nou

Barcelona's attacking prowess is evident from their recent performances against Real Madrid, securing victories in each of their last nine La Liga matches. Real Madrid's recent form, highlighted by a 2-0 victory against Sevilla in May 202 Barcelona, demonstrates their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid over 10.5 corners @ kick-off at 20:00 local time on Sunday, 25 October 2026, at Spotify Camp Nou

Barcelona's attacking prowess is evident from their recent performances against Real Madrid, securing victories in each of their last nine La Liga matches. Real Madrid's recent form, highlighted by a 2-0 victory against Sevilla in May 2026, demonstrates their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid over 10.5 corners @ kick-off at 20:00 local time on Sunday, 25 October 2026, at Spotify Camp Nou

Barcelona's attacking prowess is evident from their recent performances against Real Madrid, securing victories in each of their last nine La Liga matches. Real Madrid's recent form, highlighted by a 2-0 victory against Sevilla in May 2026, demonstrates their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid over 10.5 corners @ kick-off at 20:00 local time on Sunday, 25 October 2026, at Spotify Camp Nou

Barcelona's attacking prowess is evident from their recent performances against Real Madrid, securing victories in each of their last nine La Liga matches. Real Madrid's recent form, highlighted by a 2-0 victory against Sevilla in May 2026, demonstrates their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid over 10.5 corners @ kick-off at 20:00 local time on Sunday, 25 October 2026, at Spotify Camp Nou Barcelona's attacking prowess is evident from their recent performances against Real Madrid, securing victories in each of their last nine La Liga matches. Real Madrid's recent form, highlighted by a 2-0 victory against Sevilla in May 2026, demonstrates their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid over 10.5 corners @ kick-off at 20:00 local time on Sunday, 25 October 2026, at Spotify Camp Nou Barcelona's attacking prowess is evident from their recent performances against Real Madrid, securing victories in each of their last nine La Liga matches. Real Madrid's recent form, highlighted by a 2-0 victory against Sevilla in May 2026, demonstrates their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid over 10 corners @ kick-off at 20:00 local time on Sunday, 25 October 2026, at Spotify Camp Nou Barcelona's attacking prowess is evident from their recent performances against Real Madrid, securing victories in each of their last nine La Liga matches. Real Madrid's recent form, highlighted by a 2-0 victory against Sevilla in May 2026, demonstrates their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid over 10 corners @ kick-off at 20:00 local time on Sunday, 25 October 2026, at Spotify Camp Nou Barcelona's attacking prowess is evident from their recent performances against Real Madrid, securing victories in each of their last nine La Liga matches. Real Madrid's recent form, highlighted by a 2-0 victory against Sevilla in May 2026, demonstrates their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid over 10 corners @ kick-off at 20:00 local time on Sunday, 25 October 2026, at Spotify Camp Nou Barcelona's attacking prowess is evident from their recent performances against Real Madrid, securing victories in each of their last nine La Liga matches. Real Madrid's recent form, highlighted by a 2-0 victory against Sevilla in May 2026, demonstrates their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid over 10 corners @ kick-off at 20:00 local time on Sunday, 25 October 2026, at Spotify Camp Nou Barcelona's attacking prowess is evident from their recent performances against Real Madrid, securing victories in each of their last nine La Liga matches. Real Madrid's recent form, highlighted by a 2-0 victory against Sevilla in May 2026, demonstrates their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid over 10 corners @ kick-off at 20:00 local time on Sunday, 25 October 2026, at Spotify Camp Nou Barcelona's attacking prowess is evident from their recent performances against Real Madrid, securing victories in each of their last nine La Liga matches. Real Madrid's recent form, highlighted by a 2-0 victory against Sevilla in May 2026, demonstrates their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid over 10 corners @ kick-off at 20:00 local time on Sunday, 25 October 2026, at Spotify Camp Nou Barcelona's attacking prowess is evident from their recent performances against Real Madrid, securing victories in each of their last nine La Liga matches. Real Madrid's recent form, highlighted by a 2-0 victory against Sevilla in May 2026, demonstrates their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid over 10 corners @ kick-off at 20:00 local time on Sunday, 25 October 2026, at Spotify Camp Nou Barcelona's attacking prowess is evident from their recent performances against Real Madrid, securing victories in each of their last nine La Liga matches. Real Madrid's recent form, highlighted by a 2-0 victory against Sevilla in May 2026, demonstrates their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid over 10 corners @ kick-off at 20:00 local time on Sunday, 25 October 2026, at Spotify Camp Nou Barcelona's attacking prowess is evident from their recent performances against Real Madrid, securing victories in each of their last nine La Liga matches. Real Madrid's recent form, highlighted by a 2-0 victory against Sevilla in May 2026, demonstrates their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid over 10 corners @ kick-off at 20:00 local time on Sunday, 25 October 2026, at Spotify Camp Nou Barcelona's attacking prowess is evident from their recent performances against Real Madrid, securing victories in each of their last nine La Liga matches. Real Madrid's recent form, highlighted by a 2-0 victory against Sevilla in May 2026, demonstrates their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid over 10 corners @ kick-off at 20:00 local time on Sunday, 25 October 2026, at Spotify Camp Nou Barcelona's attacking prowess is evident from their recent performances against Real Madrid, securing victories in each of their last nine La Liga matches. Real Madrid's recent form, highlighted by a 2-0 victory against Sevilla in May 2026, demonstrates their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid over 10 corners @ kick-off at 20:00 local time on Sunday, 25 October 2026, at Spotify Camp Nou Barcelona's attacking prowess is evident from their recent performances against Real Madrid, securing victories in each of their last nine La Liga matches. Real Madrid's recent form, highlighted by a 2-0 victory against Sevilla in May 2026, demonstrates their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid over 10 corners @ kick-off at 20:00 local time on Sunday, 25 October 2026, at Spotify Camp Nou Barcelona's attacking prowess is evident from their recent performances against Real Madrid, securing victories in each of their last nine La Liga matches. Real Madrid's recent form, highlighted by a 2-0 victory against Sevilla in May 2026, demonstrates their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid over 10 corners @ kick-off at 20:00 local time on Sunday, 25 October 2026, at Spotify Camp Nou Barcelona's attacking prowess is evident from their recent performances against Real Madrid, securing victories in each of their last nine La Liga matches. Real Madrid's recent form, highlighted by a 2-0 victory against Sevilla in May 2026, demonstrates their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid over 10 corners @ kick-off at 20:00 local time on Sunday, 25 October 2026, at Spotify Camp Nou

Barcelona vs Real Madrid: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price1.706.324.39
Market average1.605.734.06
Lowest odds1.555.103.90
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.061.0490.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.221.1680.2%
Under 2.5 goals5.754.7719.8%
Over 3.5 goals1.571.5162.5%
BTTS – yes1.301.2773.3%
BTTS – no3.753.5026.7%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.9%.

All bookmakers →

At a glance

  • Likely result: Barcelona 2–1 Real Madrid, roughly 5 goals in total.
  • Table: Barcelona 1st (30 points), Real Madrid 3rd (27 points).
  • Form in the competition: Barcelona 9W 0D 0L (39:9), Real Madrid 7W 0D 2L (23:9).
  • H2H: 50 matches: Barcelona 26W 6D 18L, goals 102–76.
  • Absences: Barcelona 5, Real Madrid 4.

Who will win Barcelona vs Real Madrid?

Barcelona60%
Draw17%
Real Madrid23%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals90.7% · fair odds 1.10 · best 1.06
Likely
Over 2.5 goals80.2% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.22
Likely
Barcelona or draw (1X)76.5% · fair odds 1.31 · best 1.25
Likely
BTTS – yes73.3% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.30
Likely
Over 3.5 goals62.5% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.57
Likely
Barcelona to win59.8% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.70
Possible
Under 3.5 goals37.5% · fair odds 2.67 · best 2.60
Outsider
BTTS – no26.7% · fair odds 3.75 · best 3.75
Outsider
Real Madrid to win23.5% · fair odds 4.26 · best 4.39
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals19.8% · fair odds 5.06 · best 5.75
Outsider
Draw16.7% · fair odds 5.98 · best 6.32
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.83 · Under 1.92
probability of over 51.2%

Correct score prediction

2 : 17.9%
3 : 16.9%
2 : 26.5%
1 : 15.9%
3 : 25.7%
1 : 24.9%

Barcelona vs Real Madrid: team news and absences

Barcelona

  • R. Bardghjiknee injury · will miss the match
  • A. Christensenmuscle injury · will miss the match
  • E. Garciamuscle injury · will miss the match
  • J. Koundeankle injury · will miss the match
  • D. Olmogroin injury · will miss the match

Real Madrid

  • R. Asenciobroken leg · will miss the match
  • F. Mendyhip injury · will miss the match
  • Rodrygoknee injury · will miss the match
  • Vinicius Juniorred card · will miss the match

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Barcelona1110-0-146:1230
2Atlético Madrid119-1-122:828
3Real Madrid119-0-228:1027
4Real Betis117-2-218:1523
5Real Sociedad116-1-420:2019
6Sevilla115-2-417:1917
7Athletic Club104-3-314:1015
8Deportivo La Coruña113-5-315:1414
9Villarreal113-3-515:1512
10Celta Vigo112-6-310:1012
11Alavés113-3-515:1712
12Rayo Vallecano103-3-415:2012
13Getafe113-3-58:1612
14Espanyol113-2-613:1411
15Osasuna113-2-611:2211
16Racing Santander113-2-615:2911
17Elche112-4-514:1810
18Levante112-4-516:2110
19Valencia112-3-68:179
20Málaga110-5-68:215

Recent matches

Barcelona

3 NovWBarcelona 3–0 Aston Villa
31 OctWBarcelona 6–1 Alavés
25 OctLBarcelona 1–2 Real Madrid
20 OctLParis Saint Germain 4–2 Barcelona
17 OctWReal Betis 2–5 Barcelona

Real Madrid

4 NovWAEK Athens FC 2–3 Real Madrid
1 NovWRacing Santander 0–3 Real Madrid
25 OctWBarcelona 1–2 Real Madrid
21 OctWReal Madrid 4–1 RB Leipzig
18 OctWReal Madrid 4–1 Sevilla

Home and away

Barcelona at home6 matches: 5W 0D 1L, goals 24–7
Real Madrid away6 matches: 4W 0D 2L, goals 11–7

Team comparison

BarcelonaReal Madrid
56%Form44%
63%Attack37%
46%Defence54%
80%Head to head20%
59%Goals41%
63.5%Overall36.5%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

BarcelonaWLWWW
Real MadridWWWWL

Head to head

All matches
26Barcelona
6Draws
18Real Madrid
25/10/26 · Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid
10/5/26 · Barcelona 2–0 Real Madrid
11/1/26 · Barcelona 3–2 Real Madrid
26/10/25 · Real Madrid 2–1 Barcelona
11/5/25 · Barcelona 4–3 Real Madrid
26/4/25 · Barcelona 3–2 Real Madrid

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.9%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Barcelona vs Real Madrid?

: over 10.5 corners (1.80)

Who will win Barcelona vs Real Madrid?

We estimate: Barcelona win 60%, draw 17%, Real Madrid win 23%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona. Referee: Juan Martínez Munuera.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 80% (odds 1.22); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 20% (odds 5.75).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 73% (odds 1.30).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 2–1 as most likely (7.9%), then 3–1 (6.9%) and 2–2 (6.5%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Sevilla vs Alavés 6 NovMálaga vs Racing Santander 7 NovEspanyol vs Deportivo La Coruña 7 NovOsasuna vs Athletic Club 7 NovValencia vs Real Madrid 7 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.