Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Racing Santander v Real Madrid: 1 November 2026 · 15:15 at El Sardinero (Santander), with José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain refereeing. We have Real Madrid (78%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Racing Santander are 16th in the table, on 11 points after 11 matches (3W 2D 6L), and Real Madrid are 3rd, on 27 points (9W 0D 2L).
- Attack and defence. On average Racing Santander score 1.5 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.6; for Real Madrid the figures are 2.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Racing Santander: 3W 2D 5L, goals 15–26; Real Madrid: 8W 0D 2L, goals 25–10.
- Head to head. From 5 meetings: 0 wins for Racing Santander, 4 wins for Real Madrid and 1 draw, with the goals at 2–16.
What to expect
For us, Real Madrid are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–3 score, roughly 4 goals in all, with 1–3 (8.2%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
Odds of 1.26 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: Both teams to score (odds 1.62), which we rate at 59%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 59% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 77% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 5; Racing Santander 0 wins, 1 draw, Real Madrid 4 wins.
- An average of 3.6 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Racing Santander 15–26, Real Madrid 25–10.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 77%.
- Out: Racing Santander 2, Real Madrid 5.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 59%, best price 1.62). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Racing Santander: A. Martin, J. Salinas. Absent for Real Madrid: R. Asencio, F. Mendy, Rodrygo, F. Valverde, Vinicius Junior. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 11.50 | 8.50 | 1.26 |
| Market average | 10.82 | 7.58 | 1.22 |
| Lowest odds | 8.87 | 6.76 | 1.18 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.08 | 1.04 | 89.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.23 | 76.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 4.20 | 4.03 | 23.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.64 | 58.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.57 | 59.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.29 | 40.7% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 13:36. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Racing Santander 1–3 Real Madrid, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Racing Santander 16th (11 points), Real Madrid 3rd (27 points).
- Form in the competition: Racing Santander 3W 2D 5L (15:26), Real Madrid 8W 0D 2L (25:10).
- H2H: 5 matches: Racing Santander 0W 1D 4L, goals 2–16.
- Absences: Racing Santander 2, Real Madrid 5.
Who will win Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: team news and absences
Racing Santander
- A. Martinmuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Salinasabsence · will miss the match
Real Madrid
- R. Asenciobroken leg · will miss the match
- F. Mendyhip injury · will miss the match
- Rodrygoknee injury · will miss the match
- F. Valverdehamstring injury · will miss the match
- Vinicius Juniorred card · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Racing Santander
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Racing SantanderLWLDLReal MadridWWWWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid -2 (Asian handicap) (1.97); Both teams to score (1.62).
Who will win Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
We estimate: Racing Santander win 9%, draw 13%, Real Madrid win 78%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 1 November 2026, kick-off: 15:15, venue: El Sardinero, Santander. Referee: José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Racing Santander: A. Martin, J. Salinas. Real Madrid: R. Asencio, F. Mendy, Rodrygo, F. Valverde, Vinicius Junior. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 77% (odds 1.27); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 23% (odds 4.20).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 59% (odds 1.62).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–3 as most likely (8.2%), then 0–3 (8.2%) and 1–2 (8.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.