Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Bastia against Quevilly on 31 October 2026 · 13:45 at Stade Armand Cesari (Bastia). Bastia (47%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Bastia vs Quevilly: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Bastia are 11th in the table, on 15 points after 11 matches (4W 3D 4L), and Quevilly are 13th, on 13 points (3W 4D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average Bastia score 0.8 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.2; for Quevilly the figures are 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Bastia: 3W 3D 4L, goals 8–12; Quevilly: 3W 4D 3L, goals 11–14.
- Head to head. From 10 meetings: 6 wins for Bastia, 1 win for Quevilly and 3 draws, with the goals at 13–5.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.5%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 50% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 46% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 10; Bastia 6 wins, 3 draws, Quevilly 1 win.
- An average of 1.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Bastia 8–12, Quevilly 11–14.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 46%.
- Out: Bastia 0, Quevilly 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – no
Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 50%, best price 1.91). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Bastia: no absences. Absent for Quevilly: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Bastia vs Quevilly: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.00 | 3.45 | 3.99 |
| Market average | 1.93 | 3.28 | 3.58 |
| Lowest odds | 1.86 | 3.00 | 3.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.33 | 69.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.11 | 2.04 | 45.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.90 | 3.57 | 25.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.00 | 1.85 | 49.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.83 | 50.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 10:09. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 10.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Bastia 1–1 Quevilly, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Bastia 11th (15 points), Quevilly 13th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: Bastia 3W 3D 4L (8:12), Quevilly 3W 4D 3L (11:14).
- H2H: 10 matches: Bastia 6W 3D 1L, goals 13–5.
- Absences: Bastia 0, Quevilly 0.
Who will win Bastia vs Quevilly?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Bastia vs Quevilly: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Bastia vs Quevilly: team news and absences
Bastia
- No reported absences
Quevilly
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  La Roche VF | 11 | 7-3-1 | 18:10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Rouen | 11 | 7-2-2 | 20:9 | 23 |
| 3 |  Versailles | 11 | 7-1-3 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Caen | 11 | 6-1-4 | 21:15 | 19 |
| 5 |  Cannes | 11 | 4-6-1 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Le Puy Foot | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 7 |  Concarneau | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 8 |  Amiens | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 9 |  Fleury 91 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 10 |  Gobelins | 11 | 4-4-3 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 11 | Bastia | 11 | 4-3-4 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 12 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 11 | 3-4-4 | 16:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 11 | 3-4-4 | 11:16 | 13 |
| 14 |  Orléans | 11 | 2-4-5 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 15 |  Valenciennes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 11:17 | 9 |
| 16 |  Villefranche | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:24 | 8 |
| 17 |  Aubagne | 11 | 2-1-8 | 6:17 | 7 |
| 18 |  Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 11 | 1-2-8 | 5:18 | 5 |
Recent matches
Bastia
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
BastiaWDDLDQuevillyLWLDDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Bastia vs Quevilly?
Draw or Quevilly (X2) (1.82); Under 2.5 goals (1.75).
Who will win Bastia vs Quevilly?
We estimate: Bastia win 47%, draw 28%, Quevilly win 25%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 13:45, venue: Stade Armand Cesari, Bastia.
Who will be missing?
Bastia: no absences. Quevilly: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.11); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 54% (odds 1.75).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 50% (odds 2.00).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.5%), then 1–0 (12.5%) and 2–1 (9.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.