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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 12 November 2026 · 17:30

Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: prediction, tip and odds, 12 November 2026, Copa del Rey

Calvo Sotelo
0–3
1Calvo Sotelo6.60
XDraw4.90
2Albacete1.46

Best price · Updated 12/11/26, 16:38

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Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Calvo Sotelo v Albacete: 12 November 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio Municipal Ciudadde Puertollano (Puertollano). We have Albacete (64%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Albacete -1 (Asian handicap)
1.87
Chance 55% · confidence medium

Wins: Albacete win by 2 or more. Stake back: Albacete win by 1. Loses: a draw, Albacete lose.

Second tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.51
Chance 62% · confidence medium
Combo
Albacete + over 2.5 goals combined
2.29
44% · fair odds for the combo
0–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Albacete (X2): 85% probability, best odds 1.12.
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Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

    What to expect

    For us, Albacete are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 0–2 (11.0%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

    In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 52% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 58% chance.

    Prediction summary

    1. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 58%.
    2. Out: Calvo Sotelo 0, Albacete 0.

    Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

    Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

    Absences

    Absent for Calvo Sotelo: no absences. Absent for Albacete: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

    Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: compare the odds

    Match result1X2
    Best price6.604.901.46
    Market average6.194.451.44
    Lowest odds5.133.761.40
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.201.1778.6%
    Over 2.5 goals1.621.6158.0%
    Under 2.5 goals2.302.2242.0%
    Over 3.5 goals2.542.4637.5%
    BTTS – yes1.911.7952.1%
    BTTS – no2.001.9447.9%

    Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 12/11/26, 16:38. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.4%.

    All bookmakers →

    At a glance

    • Likely result: Calvo Sotelo 0–2 Albacete, roughly 3 goals in total.
    • Absences: Calvo Sotelo 0, Albacete 0.

    Who will win Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete?

    Calvo Sotelo15%
    Draw21%
    Albacete64%

    Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

    Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: more betting tips

    Draw or Albacete (X2)85.0% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.12
    Likely
    Over 1.5 goals78.6% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.20
    Likely
    Albacete to win64.2% · fair odds 1.56 · best 1.46
    Likely
    Under 3.5 goals62.5% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.51
    Likely
    Over 2.5 goals58.0% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.62
    Possible
    BTTS – yes52.1% · fair odds 1.92 · best 1.91
    Possible
    BTTS – no47.9% · fair odds 2.09 · best 2.00
    Outsider
    Under 2.5 goals42.0% · fair odds 2.38 · best 2.30
    Outsider
    Over 3.5 goals37.5% · fair odds 2.67 · best 2.54
    Outsider
    Draw20.8% · fair odds 4.81 · best 4.90
    Outsider
    Calvo Sotelo to win15.0% · fair odds 6.68 · best 6.60
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

    Tips on corners and cards

    Cornersline 9.5 corners
    Over 1.79 · Under 1.90
    probability of over 51.5%

    Correct score prediction

    0 : 211.0%
    0 : 110.5%
    1 : 29.9%
    1 : 19.4%
    0 : 37.7%
    1 : 36.9%

    Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: team news and absences

    Calvo Sotelo

    • No reported absences

    Albacete

    • No reported absences

    Changes are possible before kick-off.

    Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: last matches of both teams

    Calvo Sotelo

    L 8/11/26 · Numancia 6–0 Calvo Sotelo
    L 1/11/26 · Calvo Sotelo 1–2 Guadalajara
    D 25/10/26 · Getafe II 2–2 Calvo Sotelo
    L 18/10/26 · SS Reyes 2–1 Calvo Sotelo
    D 11/10/26 · Calvo Sotelo 0–0 RSD Alcalá

    Albacete

    W 7/11/26 · Leganés 1–3 Albacete
    W 31/10/26 · Albacete 2–1 Sabadell
    W 25/10/26 · Albacete 2–0 Eldense
    L 17/10/26 · Sporting Gijón 2–1 Albacete
    L 12/10/26 · Valladolid 5–0 Albacete

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 £
    Net profit0 £
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin8.4%

    Questions and answers

    What do we tip for Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete?

    Albacete -1 (Asian handicap) (1.87); Under 3.5 goals (1.51).

    Who will win Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete?

    We estimate: Calvo Sotelo win 15%, draw 21%, Albacete win 64%.

    Where and when is the game being played?

    Date: 12 November 2026, kick-off: 17:30, venue: Estadio Municipal Ciudadde Puertollano, Puertollano.

    Who will be missing?

    Calvo Sotelo: no absences. Albacete: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

    Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

    We estimate over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.62); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 42% (odds 2.30).

    Will both teams score?

    By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 52% (odds 1.91).

    Which correct score is the likeliest?

    We rate 0–2 as most likely (11.0%), then 0–1 (10.5%) and 1–2 (9.9%).

    What are your predictions based on?

    We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

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    18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.