Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena (Copa del Rey, 18 November 2026, 19:30): Deportiva Minera or draw (1X) at odds of 1.60. Second tip: Both teams to score at odds of 1.75. The bookmakers' odds give Deportiva Minera 29%, the draw 30% and FC Cartagena 40%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena betting prediction
On 18 November 2026, Cartagena travel to Deportiva Minera's home ground, the Estadio Municipal Ángel Celdrán, for a 19:30 kick-off in round 128 of the Copa del Rey. Market prices favour the away team, who are given a 40% chance of victory. Yet Deportiva Minera are in form, and the odds reflect that only in part. Each side is projected at around 1 goal, roughly 2 combined, and the most probable correct scores are 1-1 (12.7%), 0-1 (11.1%) and 1-0 (9.4%).
At a glance
- Likely result: Deportiva Minera 1–1 FC Cartagena, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Absences: Deportiva Minera 0, FC Cartagena 0.
Which side is in better shape right now?
Minera have taken all five of their latest outings across every competition, netting ten times and letting in two. Four of those five ended without them conceding, a defensive solidity that stands out most to us. Cartagena's recent run is much messier: a single victory, two draws and a pair of losses, with seven goals scored against nine conceded. Because these figures include every competition rather than just the league, they reflect momentum more than overall ranking. Even so, the difference in form is hard to overlook.
Who will win Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Where the goals are likely to come from
Cartagena have found the net in four of their last five outings, so scoring is not their problem. Their defence is another matter: they lost 4-1 at Villarreal II and 2-0 away to Real Madrid II. Bookmakers price roughly one goal per side. Over 2.5 goals sits at 47% and under 2.5 at 53%, which we read only as the bookmakers' own expectation. With a 9.6% margin built into the match-result market, those prices do not look especially generous.
Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.15 | 3.00 | 2.27 |
| Market average | 3.13 | 3.00 | 2.26 |
| Lowest odds | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.30 | 71.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 2.00 | 46.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.75 | 53.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.50 | 3.50 | 26.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.75 | 53.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.03 | 2.01 | 46.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 13/11/26, 17:58. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 9.6%.
No earlier meeting and no injury news
These two sides have never met before, so no head-to-head trend is available to guide the read. No injuries or suspensions have been flagged for either team. The verdict therefore rests on recent form and the odds.
Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena: team news and absences
Deportiva Minera
- No reported absences
FC Cartagena
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
The case for Minera or the draw
Oddsmakers have Cartagena as the pick to win outright, priced at 2.27, and that view is understandable. Still, we lean toward the home side's double chance, since it only requires Minera to avoid defeat. Our headline selection: Deportiva Minera or draw (1X) at odds 1.60 (chance 60%).
- Deportiva Minera have won 5 of their last 5 matches.
- Minera have lost 0 of their last 5 matches, so defeat has not been a pattern for them.
- Cartagena have claimed just one victory in their last five outings.
- The bookmakers give this selection a 60% chance at best odds of 1.60.
Our 1X collects on 1-1, 1-0 and 0-0 but goes down on 0-1, 1-2 and 0-2. Most of the danger lies in Cartagena taking the points, and the most likely scoreline leaning toward the away side, 0-1, falls squarely in the losing column. At 1.60, we think that exposure is worth accepting.
Another tip: Both teams to score
Our number two pick is Both teams to score at 1.75 odds (54% chance). Minera have found the net in each of their last five outings, which points to a steady attack. Cartagena have shared the goals in three of their last five games and kept a clean sheet only once in that run. That form is why we back the visitors to score here.
This selection cashes on 1-1 and 1-2 and falls short on 0-1, 1-0, 0-0 and 0-2. Both it and the primary pick land on 1-1, so they never cancel each other out on the scoreline most likely to occur. Where they diverge is among the one-goal outcomes, and we consider that a deliberate trade-off.
Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena: last matches of both teams
Deportiva Minera
FC Cartagena
Other bets worth a look beside the tips
For a lower-risk pick, the X2 line on FC Cartagena (Draw or FC Cartagena) at 1.33 hits about 71% of the time. Payouts are modest, but a win comes from either a draw or an away victory, and just a home win would lose the ticket.
- Draw or FC Cartagena (X2) at odds 1.33 (chance 71%).
- Draw at odds 3.00 (chance 30%), a pick for anyone who thinks a cup tie will end level.
Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Our final word: 1-1 at Angel Celdran
1-1 is the only result that lands both of our selections. Taking the home side to avoid defeat is the value we'd back, and we see 1-1 as the score most likely to end the match.
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena?
Deportiva Minera or draw (1X) (1.60); Both teams to score (1.75).
Who will win Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena?
We estimate: Deportiva Minera win 29%, draw 30%, FC Cartagena win 40%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 18 November 2026, kick-off: 19:30, venue: Estadio Municipal Ángel Celdrán, Cartagena.
Who will be missing?
Deportiva Minera: no absences. FC Cartagena: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.00); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 53% (odds 1.75).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.75).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.7%), then 0–1 (11.1%) and 1–0 (9.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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