Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Utebo vs Sabadell (Copa del Rey, 18 November 2026, 18:00): BTTS: no at odds of 1.83. Second tip: Sabadell to win at odds of 1.75. The bookmakers' odds give Utebo 18%, the draw 26% and Sabadell 57%. The most likely score is 0–1.
Utebo vs Sabadell betting prediction
The numbers that jump out here are the expected goals: Utebo 1, Sabadell 2, which points to about three goals in total. The bookmakers' most likely exact scores are 0-1 at 14.2%, 0-2 at 11.7% and 1-1 at 11.4%. Sabadell are the side the market trusts, at 57% and best odds of 1.75, and we agree with that read. The goal patterns are where we find our interest, and that is where our main tip comes from.
At a glance
- Likely result: Utebo 0–1 Sabadell, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Utebo 0, Sabadell 0.
Attack against defence: two sides that concede
Utebo have scored 5 and conceded 4 in their last five matches, and Sabadell have scored 4 and conceded 5. Neither side is built on a stingy back line. Utebo's record shows one win, three draws and one defeat, while Sabadell have one win, two draws and two defeats. These five matches are all competitions, not only this cup, so they do not tell us how each team performs in its league table.
What separates the two is the finishing. Sabadell failed to score in two of their five, and Utebo did so in one. Both teams found the net in three of the five, which is the detail we keep returning to when we look at the goal markets.
Who will win Utebo vs Sabadell?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Form guide: Utebo's draws and Sabadell's swings
Utebo's five have been mostly stalemates. They drew 0-0 at home to Arnedo, lost 1-2 at Barcelona B, drew 1-1 at home to UD Logroñés II, drew 1-1 away at Náxara and beat Osasuna II 2-0 at home.
Sabadell's run is more of a seesaw. They won 2-1 away at AD Ceuta FC, lost 1-0 at Burgos, drew 1-1 at home to Tenerife, lost 2-1 at Albacete and drew 0-0 at home to Real Sociedad II. Only one of those five ended with them winning, and that is the number we find most useful when we weigh Sabadell's chances of picking up three points.
Utebo vs Sabadell: last matches of both teams
Utebo
Sabadell
Utebo vs Sabadell: team news and absences
Utebo
- No reported absences
Sabadell
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
No earlier meeting to lean on
We have no record of Utebo and Sabadell meeting before, so there is no head-to-head trend to guide us. We take that as neutral. The price and the recent form have to carry the whole read, and we are happy for them to do so.
No injuries to weigh either way
No absences have been reported for Utebo or for Sabadell. That means we are not asked to adjust for a missing striker or a suspended centre-back. The odds reflect both squads as they stand, and we have no reason to second-guess them on personnel.
Main tip: at least one side draws a blank
Our main tip is both teams to score, no, at odds 1.83 with a chance of 54%. The bet wins on 0-1, 0-2, 0-0 and 1-0, and it loses on 1-1 and 1-2. In other words, it dies the moment both sides get on the scoresheet, and that is the risk we accept.
- Utebo kept two clean sheets in their last five matches.
- Sabadell kept one clean sheet in their last five matches.
- Sabadell have gone two matches in their last five without scoring.
- The market gives the no-goal outcome 54% at best odds of 1.83.
We would not back the other side of the market at 2.15 for both teams to score, yes. At a 46% chance, the price does not pay enough for the risk, and it is the price that stops us.
Another tip: Sabadell to win
Sabadell to win at 1.75 is our second tip, with a chance of 57%. Utebo won only one of their last five matches, and that is the main reason we are comfortable with the visitors. The bet wins on 0-1, 0-2 and 1-2, and it loses on 1-0, 1-1 and 0-0. If Utebo take a goal and Sabadell do not answer, the ticket is gone, and we accept that risk for a price that still gives the favourite room.
Three other bets worth a look
- Sabadell +0 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.23, chance 76%. A Sabadell win wins, a draw returns the stake and a defeat loses. It is the safest way to back the visitors in the result.
- Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, chance 75%. The market is firm that three goals or fewer is the likelier outcome, and it sits comfortably beside our main tip.
- Over 1.5 goals at odds 1.40, chance 68%. If you think the match will have at least two goals, this price is the one we would take, though it does not fit our main tip.
Utebo vs Sabadell: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 6.00 | 3.78 | 1.75 |
| Market average | 5.31 | 3.59 | 1.64 |
| Lowest odds | 4.48 | 3.39 | 1.55 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.34 | 68.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.25 | 2.09 | 44.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.77 | 1.67 | 55.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.33 | 3.67 | 25.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.15 | 2.03 | 45.7% |
| BTTS – no | 1.83 | 1.71 | 54.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 4/11/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.0%.
Utebo vs Sabadell: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Most likely score: Utebo 0-1 Sabadell
The likeliest exact score in the market is 0-1 to Sabadell, at 14.2%. That is the result that cashes both our main tip and our second tip, and it is why we are happy to keep both on the same slip. We would expect Sabadell to win, but we would not expect a flood of goals. Keep stakes modest, because the bookmaker margin on the result is 8.0%, and that margin eats into any long-term edge.
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Match events
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Utebo vs Sabadell?
BTTS: no (1.83); Sabadell to win (1.75).
Who will win Utebo vs Sabadell?
We estimate: Utebo win 18%, draw 26%, Sabadell win 57%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 18 November 2026, kick-off: 18:00, venue: Campo Santa Ana, Utebo.
Who will be missing?
Utebo: no absences. Sabadell: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 44% (odds 2.25); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 56% (odds 1.77).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 46% (odds 2.15).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 0–1 as most likely (14.2%), then 0–2 (11.7%) and 1–1 (11.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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