Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar: 22 October 2026 · 17:45 at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium (Yerevan), with Patrik Kolarič refereeing. We have AZ Alkmaar (67%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Ararat-Armenia are 36th in the table, on 0 points after 3 matches (0W 0D 3L), and AZ Alkmaar are 10th, on 6 points (2W 0D 1L).
- Head to head. From 1 meetings: 0 wins for Ararat-Armenia, 1 win for AZ Alkmaar and 0 draws, with the goals at 0–4.
What to expect
For us, AZ Alkmaar are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 0–2 (10.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.60), and we rate it at 61%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 53% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 61% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 1; Ararat-Armenia 0 wins, 0 draws, AZ Alkmaar 1 win.
- An average of 4.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 61%.
- Out: Ararat-Armenia 0, AZ Alkmaar 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, best price 1.67). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Ararat-Armenia: no absences. Absent for AZ Alkmaar: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 7.90 | 5.12 | 1.44 |
| Market average | 7.28 | 4.85 | 1.40 |
| Lowest odds | 5.03 | 4.00 | 1.36 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 81.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.54 | 61.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.42 | 39.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.49 | 2.36 | 40.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.78 | 1.75 | 53.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 1.99 | 46.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 22/10/26, 16:29. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.0%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Ararat-Armenia 0–2 AZ Alkmaar, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Ararat-Armenia 36th (0 points), AZ Alkmaar 10th (6 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Ararat-Armenia 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–4.
- Absences: Ararat-Armenia 0, AZ Alkmaar 0.
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar: team news and absences
Ararat-Armenia
- No reported absences
AZ Alkmaar
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 4 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Rennes | 4 | 1-3-0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Ararat-Armenia
Home and away
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
AZ Alkmaar -1.25 (Asian handicap) (2.12); Over 2.5 goals (1.60).
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
We estimate: Ararat-Armenia win 13%, draw 20%, AZ Alkmaar win 67%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 22 October 2026, kick-off: 17:45, venue: Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan. Referee: Patrik Kolarič.
Who will be missing?
Ararat-Armenia: no absences. AZ Alkmaar: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.60); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 39% (odds 2.62).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 53% (odds 1.78).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 0–2 as most likely (10.8%), then 1–2 (9.8%) and 0–1 (9.6%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.