Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Cardiff v West Ham: 4 November 2026 · 19:45 at Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff), with Edward Duckworth refereeing. We have West Ham (50%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Cardiff vs West Ham: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Cardiff are 18th in the table, on 15 points after 14 matches (3W 6D 5L), and West Ham are 8th, on 23 points (6W 5D 3L).
- Attack and defence. On average Cardiff score 1.5 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.5; for West Ham the figures are 2.5 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Cardiff: 3W 5D 5L, goals 19–20; West Ham: 6W 4D 3L, goals 33–18.
- Head to head. From 9 meetings: 2 wins for Cardiff, 7 wins for West Ham and 0 draws, with the goals at 6–17.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–2 (9.1%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.92), and we rate it at 50%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 69% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 69% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 9; Cardiff 2 wins, 0 draws, West Ham 7 wins.
- An average of 2.6 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Cardiff 19–20, West Ham 33–18.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 69%.
- Out: Cardiff 4, West Ham 2.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals (probability 50%, best price 1.97). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Cardiff: C. Chambers, D. Lawlor, K. Bielik, C. Robinson. Absent for West Ham: K. Mavropanos, K. Lamadrid. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Cardiff vs West Ham: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.65 | 4.30 | 1.93 |
| Market average | 3.51 | 4.09 | 1.88 |
| Lowest odds | 3.19 | 3.80 | 1.83 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.08 | 86.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.34 | 69.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.04 | 30.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.97 | 1.90 | 49.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.37 | 1.35 | 69.0% |
| BTTS – no | 3.25 | 3.00 | 31.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 4/11/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.2%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Cardiff 1–2 West Ham, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Cardiff 18th (15 points), West Ham 8th (23 points).
- Form in the competition: Cardiff 3W 5D 5L (19:20), West Ham 6W 4D 3L (33:18).
- H2H: 9 matches: Cardiff 2W 0D 7L, goals 6–17.
- Absences: Cardiff 4, West Ham 2.
Who will win Cardiff vs West Ham?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Cardiff vs West Ham: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Cardiff vs West Ham: team news and absences
Cardiff
- C. Chambersknee injury · will miss the match
- D. Lawlorhamstring injury · will miss the match
- K. Bieliknot in the squad · doubtful
- C. Robinsonnot in the squad · doubtful
West Ham
- K. Mavropanosknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Lamadridinjury · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 | West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 14 | 5-2-7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 14 | 1-4-9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Cardiff
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
CardiffDLWDWWest HamDLLWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Cardiff vs West Ham?
West Ham -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.92); Under 3.5 goals (1.92).
Who will win Cardiff vs West Ham?
We estimate: Cardiff win 27%, draw 23%, West Ham win 50%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 4 November 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff. Referee: Edward Duckworth.
Who will be missing?
Cardiff: C. Chambers, D. Lawlor, K. Bielik, C. Robinson. West Ham: K. Mavropanos, K. Lamadrid. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 69% (odds 1.38); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 31% (odds 3.20).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 69% (odds 1.37).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–2 as most likely (9.1%), then 1–1 (8.8%) and 2–2 (6.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.