Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Swansea v West Ham: 17 October 2026 · 15:00 at Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea), with Josh Smith, England refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Swansea vs West Ham: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Swansea are 5th in the table, on 26 points after 14 matches (8W 2D 4L), and West Ham are 8th, on 23 points (6W 5D 3L).
What to expect
For us, West Ham are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.62), and we rate it at 58%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 58% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 54% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 54%.
- Out: Swansea 0, West Ham 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 58%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Swansea: no absences. Absent for West Ham: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Swansea vs West Ham: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.54 | 3.76 | 2.20 |
| Market average | 3.24 | 3.60 | 2.09 |
| Lowest odds | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.21 | 76.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.73 | 54.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.14 | 2.06 | 45.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.87 | 2.75 | 33.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.60 | 57.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.20 | 42.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 17/10/26, 12:01. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Swansea 1–1 West Ham, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Swansea 5th (26 points), West Ham 8th (23 points).
- Absences: Swansea 0, West Ham 0.
Who will win Swansea vs West Ham?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Swansea vs West Ham: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Swansea vs West Ham: team news and absences
Swansea
- No reported absences
West Ham
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 | Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 | West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 14 | 5-2-7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 14 | 1-4-9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Swansea vs West Ham?
Swansea +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Both teams to score (1.62).
Who will win Swansea vs West Ham?
We estimate: Swansea win 29%, draw 26%, West Ham win 45%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 17 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea. Referee: Josh Smith, England.
Who will be missing?
Swansea: no absences. West Ham: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.76); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 46% (odds 2.14).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.62).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.6%), then 1–2 (9.3%) and 0–1 (9.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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