Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Wolves against Cardiff on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton), and Josh Smith will referee. Wolves (60%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wolves vs Cardiff: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Wolves are 2nd in the table, on 27 points after 14 matches (8W 3D 3L), and Cardiff are 18th, on 15 points (3W 6D 5L).
- Attack and defence. On average Wolves score 1.7 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.3; for Cardiff the figures are 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Wolves: 6W 3D 3L, goals 20–16; Cardiff: 3W 5D 4L, goals 19–17.
- Head to head. From 13 meetings: 6 wins for Wolves, 7 wins for Cardiff and 0 draws, with the goals at 17–17.
What to expect
For us, Wolves are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.7%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), and we rate it at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 62% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 65% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 13; Wolves 6 wins, 0 draws, Cardiff 7 wins.
- An average of 2.6 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Wolves 20–16, Cardiff 19–17.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 65%.
- Out: Wolves 6, Cardiff 5.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 62%, best price 1.53). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Wolves: R. Jimenez, G. Konan, N. Djiga, F. Lopez, B. Traore, B. Traore. Absent for Cardiff: C. Chambers, D. Lawlor, G. Osho, K. Bielik, C. Robinson. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Wolves vs Cardiff: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.70 | 4.75 | 5.47 |
| Market average | 1.58 | 4.42 | 4.93 |
| Lowest odds | 1.53 | 3.78 | 3.89 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.43 | 65.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.83 | 2.69 | 34.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.10 | 44.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.51 | 61.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.43 | 38.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 13:40. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Wolves 2–1 Cardiff, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Wolves 2nd (27 points), Cardiff 18th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Wolves 6W 3D 3L (20:16), Cardiff 3W 5D 4L (19:17).
- H2H: 13 matches: Wolves 6W 0D 7L, goals 17–17.
- Absences: Wolves 6, Cardiff 5.
Who will win Wolves vs Cardiff?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Wolves vs Cardiff: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Wolves vs Cardiff: team news and absences
Wolves
- R. Jimenezknee injury · will miss the match
- G. Konanknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Djigagroin injury · doubtful
- F. Lopezcalf injury · doubtful
- B. Traoreinjury · doubtful
- B. Traoreinjury · doubtful
Cardiff
- C. Chambersknee injury · will miss the match
- D. Lawlorhamstring injury · will miss the match
- G. Oshored card · will miss the match
- K. Bieliknot in the squad · doubtful
- C. Robinsonnot in the squad · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 | Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 14 | 5-2-7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 14 | 1-4-9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Wolves
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
WolvesWWWDWCardiffDLWDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Wolves vs Cardiff?
Wolves -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Over 2.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win Wolves vs Cardiff?
We estimate: Wolves win 60%, draw 21%, Cardiff win 19%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton. Referee: Josh Smith.
Who will be missing?
Wolves: R. Jimenez, G. Konan, N. Djiga, F. Lopez, B. Traore, B. Traore. Cardiff: C. Chambers, D. Lawlor, G. Osho, K. Bielik, C. Robinson. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 65% (odds 1.47); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 35% (odds 2.83).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 62% (odds 1.53).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.7%), then 1–1 (8.8%) and 2–0 (8.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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