Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Charlton against Bolton on 3 November 2026 · 19:45 at The Valley (London), and Steve Martin will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Charlton vs Bolton: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Charlton are 21st in the table, on 14 points after 14 matches (3W 5D 6L), and Bolton are 17th, on 17 points (5W 2D 7L).
- Attack and defence. On average Charlton score 0.8 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.6; for Bolton the figures are 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Charlton: 3W 5D 5L, goals 11–21; Bolton: 4W 2D 7L, goals 18–26.
- Head to head. From 18 meetings: 5 wins for Charlton, 6 wins for Bolton and 7 draws, with the goals at 23–28.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–1 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.0%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.62), and we rate it at 58%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 58% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 53% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 18; Charlton 5 wins, 7 draws, Bolton 6 wins.
- An average of 2.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Charlton 11–21, Bolton 18–26.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 53%.
- Out: Charlton 3, Bolton 6.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 58%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Charlton: R. Apter, C. Sichenje, M. Godden. Absent for Bolton: E. Erhahon, R. Hardie, J. McAtee, J. Nelson, E. Toal, G. Bazunu. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Charlton vs Bolton: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.34 | 3.61 | 3.30 |
| Market average | 2.20 | 3.42 | 3.14 |
| Lowest odds | 2.14 | 3.22 | 3.02 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.23 | 75.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.82 | 1.78 | 53.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 2.02 | 46.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.04 | 2.89 | 32.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.61 | 57.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.20 | 42.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 3/11/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Charlton 1–1 Bolton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Charlton 21st (14 points), Bolton 17th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Charlton 3W 5D 5L (11:21), Bolton 4W 2D 7L (18:26).
- H2H: 18 matches: Charlton 5W 7D 6L, goals 23–28.
- Absences: Charlton 3, Bolton 6.
Who will win Charlton vs Bolton?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Charlton vs Bolton: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Charlton vs Bolton: team news and absences
Charlton
- R. Apterknee injury · will miss the match
- C. Sichenjeknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Goddenmuscle injury · doubtful
Bolton
- E. Erhahonthigh injury · will miss the match
- R. Hardiehamstring injury · will miss the match
- J. McAteeknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Nelsonnot in the squad · will miss the match
- E. Toalnot in the squad · will miss the match
- G. Bazununot in the squad · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 | Bolton | 14 | 5-2-7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 14 | 1-4-9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Charlton
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
CharltonLLLLDBoltonWLLDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Charlton vs Bolton?
Draw or Bolton (X2) (1.70); Both teams to score (1.62).
Who will win Charlton vs Bolton?
We estimate: Charlton win 43%, draw 27%, Bolton win 30%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 3 November 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: The Valley, London. Referee: Steve Martin.
Who will be missing?
Charlton: R. Apter, C. Sichenje, M. Godden. Bolton: E. Erhahon, R. Hardie, J. McAtee, J. Nelson, E. Toal, G. Bazunu. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.82); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 47% (odds 2.07).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.62).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.0%), then 1–0 (9.6%) and 2–1 (9.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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